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tnx chart................youch! don' worry you can put your money with Pimcos Neel Kashkari and get 3%.............:p

ripping right now short cove?

there is a double top on spy on the 60 minute, that said you should be thinking about where to cover if the mkt goes against you. Good trading.

someone was pointing out that there is a cost of carry in futures. interest rates which are low, don't let them confuse you. Are you long or short right now? http://indexarb.com/fairValueDecomposition.html

es is the future contract from the link I sent you. It expires every few months, there is also spx contract known as the big due to the large tick size, this is a contract traded by institutions and deep pocket locals. spy is more like a stock and is what you should focus on. You can lose your...

http://www.barchart.com/commodityfutures/E-Mini_S%26P_500_Futures/ESZ1

http://www.spike.com/video-clips/do4cnm/manswers-what-are-your-chances-of-getting-some-today :p :p :p

here is a spy chart......look familiar this is from 11/2009 perfect consolidation pattern, trade the channel. reversion to the mean is what's working at the moment. You can almost see the drift on a daily chart.

I am really hoping the aliens land first, I can't stomach much more of the rhetoric.

I would like to sum up our political situation.

if you are brave you could take a scalp here with a 2-3 point stop and hope for a runner, es at 1193 at the moment, look for a fill 1192-1193.

no such thing in canned indicators. The market (spy) has shot straight up on a 60 minute chart since 9/13. Remember volatility is high so you should think seriously about smaller contract size and wider stops. You can really get burned, meaning you can see a 3-4% move intraday and get burned. I...

I was gonna post this, but it does show the randomness of it all.

Mississipi the least Colorado. http://calorielab.com/news/2011/06/30/fattest-states-2011/

look out below this is in crash mode

there is an article somewhere where thorp explains how he basically invented stat arb in the 70s, he explains it so simply you would think he was explaining how to take a dog for a walk, amazing intellect.

to each his own, I have zero interest in fixing a car, doesn't mean I can't appreciate someone who is good at that. I don't think FV is as complicated as the OP is making it, he should hang out with Robert Schiller to get really confused. http://edwardothorp.com/id9.html

this stock is in distribution mode for the moment, on a scalp long 162 area with a stop around 160, longer term stock looks broken. This is a tough call. you may look at risk reversals if you know what you are doing. Good trading.

interesting these things usually come out when volatility is high. Any ideas what the general position was, I would get guess net long.

he's gonna feel the pain if we close over 1220. Nitro is hard to figure, I like the idea of FAIR VALUE but this thread is all over the place. :eek: