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I think vol will spike briefly and will then come down. One scenario is 50 pt ct, with the typical spike and drop in vol. Who knows how the market will react by the end of the day. I wish I was that good. vix chart from yesterday...

vix to 26 almost there, the rate cut should get it under 25.

scratch trade taking too long.

Long spy $136.15 wide stop.

I noticed that pattern a few years ago, good for 15-30 dow points just about every time. Can't say about afterhours with the light volume.

LOL. Hasn't he suffered enough, did you see his woman, ouch!:p

bank playbook: go long futures indexes if correct; more wine and cheese for all. If wrong blame margin challenged junior trader (offset 80 billion notional value with tricky double set of books).:p

Can't fight the tape. I have been short biased all day but money is on the long side. No real good news here and yet the market grinds up.:confused:

long from $134.80 out $135.15

long spy here

In questioning so far, Marin said, Kerviel has been cooperative and has admitted exceeding his credit limit in order to make fraudulent transactions involving European index futures. "I exploded my credit line," Marin quoted Kerviel as saying. But Kerviel also defended himself, pointing...

I should add there is a divergence on MACD on vix chart. I know some people use that regularly.

Here is a vix chart. Looking at the daily chart I find it interesting that the highest daily close was only $31.01, previous high daily close in november was $31.09. Bottom line is that the market soundly rejected a closing volatility over $30.00. Thinking vol may spike over 30 again but it will...

out $133.80

breakout time long $133.63. spy

out $132.72 still short biased.

short spy $132.98 not buying this rally.

scratch trade .

short spy $132.80

out $132.45 couldn't figure out why we were up this morning.