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  1. johnarb

    Crypto Macro Trends for 2022

    Nice turnaround, CNBC commented Bitcoin was first to turn green before the stock market
  2. johnarb

    Crypto Macro Trends for 2022

    Bitcoin NGU is not as good as the other newer, smaller market cap coins, but the risk is also less Right now, our main concern is that all investments, especially the high flying Tech stocks are being sold to go to cash Everyone wants cash, even the investments in bitcoin and cryptos...
  3. johnarb

    Crypto Macro Trends for 2022

    I think it's difficult to decouple in the short term, unless there is a major news The bitcoin and cryptos market are just like any trading markets and determined by buyers and sellers and the supplies Fortunately for us, there is a dwindling supply of the "physical" bitcoins in the exchanges...
  4. johnarb

    Crypto Macro Trends for 2022

    So many posts and threads on ET "discussing" the bitcoin and cryptos and stock market crash, lately... sigh It's not a fun time for sure, looking at our crypto portfolio value going down. Even YouTube influencers are bearish on cryptos Maybe with the upcoming Fed meeting this week things will...
  5. johnarb

    Bitcoin Plummeting 11% to $37,980

    Your posts had a negative tone to them towards Bitcoin I apologize for the attack
  6. johnarb

    Bitcoin Plummeting 11% to $37,980

    That is a true statement, 1 BTC = 1 BTC is only during price crashes and not on the way up Now, of course since you joined bitcointalk in 2013, you do understand the reasoning behind it, right? Or you never really understood it and it's the reason you missed out or sold your bitcoin too early...
  7. johnarb

    Bitcoin Plummeting 11% to $37,980

    Thanks for the good wish I know English is my 2nd language but my post was quite clear on why I sold, because the stock market was down hard, and a repeat of the previous day's events, margin calls to investors, would cause a further weakness to the cryptos and so on I was correct, btc went...
  8. johnarb

    Bitcoin Plummeting 11% to $37,980

    I don't express myself so well sometimes, that's why I type TL;DR Bear market is my opinion and determination and decision based on fundamentals I analyze and take into account I have not decided it's a bear market, but slowly, think of a gauge, a month ago, my gauge was strongly on the "its a...
  9. johnarb

    Bitcoin Plummeting 11% to $37,980

    This is a very good book that will provide you with the information on the fundamentals and value of Bitcoin
  10. johnarb

    Bitcoin Plummeting 11% to $37,980

    Based on the past 2 bear market cycles (2014-2016 and 2018-2019), the lack of money coming into the space caused the bear markets in cryptos Last year, around May 2021, bitcoin crashed and lost over 50% of value from $64K to $28K and stayed in the $30K for months That was not a bear market, I...
  11. johnarb

    Bitcoin Plummeting 11% to $37,980

    BTC is savings account, fiat (USD) is checking account - Greg Foss has mentioned this a few times Right now, I have fiat for living expenses Liquidating crypto portfolio (except 10 btc) is because I think I can get more cryptos later So the goal is to increase savings account, but with any...
  12. johnarb

    Bitcoin Plummeting 11% to $37,980

    1 btc = 1 btc Many Bitcoin OG's have said this since 2013 when I first got into cryptos The reason I said don't reference fiat price is to take away the focus on fiat as a deciding factor if I liquidate my portfolio except 10 btc Which is your first and primary focus, fiat price as the...
  13. johnarb

    Bitcoin Plummeting 11% to $37,980

    This is my 3rd reply to you but we're still not meeting eye to eye, lo. We are not the same and that's a good thing as you said Notice your post is talking about fiat and its value? You referenced a car, good. Next year, if inflation is 7%, that car would be more expensive in fiat Listen, I...
  14. johnarb

    Bitcoin Plummeting 11% to $37,980

    You don't need to go back, I know and remember the discussion Your frame of reference is incorrect as I said on my previous post First of all, I have bitcoin and cryptos, you do not have any. We are not the same As my post mentioned, I will always hodl 10 btc To have 0 btc or no cryptos is...
  15. johnarb

    Crypto Macro Trends for 2022

    2omb Discord https://2omb.finance/
  16. johnarb

    Bitcoin Plummeting 11% to $37,980

    You're framing it incorrectly I've been through 2 crypto bear market cycles In a bear market, you sell to cash so you can buy when the discounts on cryptos are 80% or more but do not expect that is the bottom Cryptos can stay at -80% price for a long time and even go up and then down more...
  17. johnarb

    Crypto Macro Trends for 2022

    Macro trend possibility for 2022 due to the bear market could be DeFi Crypto people have a lot of profits Selling gains for fiat is a must for risk management however holding pure fiat with no yields is not acceptable CeFi crypto banks offer ~10% APR which is ok but real inflation may be...
  18. johnarb

    Bitcoin Plummeting 11% to $37,980

    I don't want to be completely out without btc. It's insurance in case something big happens, i.e. Turkey announces adoption of btc, or 2 other nation states adopt btc in the same fashion as El Salvador Or a contagion effect in the financial system, heck the Fed rate hikes could start a domino...
  19. johnarb

    Crypto Macro Trends for 2022

    *** Post is for entertainment purposes only!! Bump Playing defense at this time, sold 1.5 btc to cash, pondering the question if we are in a bear market aka crypto winter Not holding FTM no more, except a little for gas On the Tomb project, only holding TBonds and considering getting rid of...
  20. johnarb

    Bitcoin Plummeting 11% to $37,980

    After the stock market closed blood red, I figured a repeat of the bitcoin and crypto crash like yesterday, sold 1.5 btc, not much I can't say I'm looking for an entry to buy... Sorry I'm trying to condition my mind of the possibility of a bear market, in which case, next step would be a...
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