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  1. kut2k2

    What's a good tool to determine if the market is trending or consolidated ?

    The thing you're looking is what all technical traders are looking for. So expecting to find it in the public domain is naive. Are all indicators useless? Maybe all the publicly disclosed ones are. But there are proprietary indicators that will consistently find trends and some of them may...
  2. kut2k2

    Best way to make money off a trading system?

    Maybe instead of sharing it, you should be charging a commission for providing a winning system to people who can't trade themselves. Not sure of all the legal details involved in that. Also what is the reason why you can't go EOD instead of weekly to increase your win rate? I don't...
  3. kut2k2

    what's your Jack Hershey trading system win/loss ratio ?

    LMAO !! (not really laughing at Jack; even if he's an overall winner, I'd still be ROFLing at the comparison to the Dos Equis uberdude :D ) "Stay Greedy, My Friends" :p
  4. kut2k2

    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    Having reread my post, I apologize that it came across as a slam at all social sciences. I have a thing about economystics as you undoubtedly can tell, but I do respect psychology, sociology and other social sciences as real sciences. I should have spoken of "Nobel-prize envy" rather than...
  5. kut2k2

    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    I just gave a serious answer to a serious question. Now tell me, why does that upset you so? Do you feel relieved now? Oh, good! :D
  6. kut2k2

    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    I call it science envy. Economists and the other soft scientists have always been envious of the major advances made by the hard sciences like physics and chemistry. Economystics (as I sometimes refer to economists) were the most envious of all, so among other things they came up with their...
  7. kut2k2

    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    Perhaps you and Murray should have placed your threads in the correct forum. :D
  8. kut2k2

    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    Allow me to point out the following, which is always true: %signal + %noise = 100% Sorry if my emphasis on noise has caused confusion. It's just that for my particular signal, it is easier to directly measure the strength of the noise and then use the formula above to make the conversion...
  9. kut2k2

    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    Always refer to the basic wiki definition of noise. Whenever price moves in a fashion that counters your method of trading, be it your desire to enter the market in a favorable manner or to exit in a favorable manner, then you've encountered noise. You thought you had a signal to enter or to...
  10. kut2k2

    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    Looks like a disagreement over semantics here. To me, it's not all signal because it's not all tradeable. Price signal = tradeable movements; price noise = untradeable movements. Unless you've found a way to trade every single price movement, it ain't all signal.
  11. kut2k2

    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    Interesting how you put it: "noise, whatever that is" because that is precisely the problem (and the solution!) During my weekend forage of wikipedia for new insights, I ran across this definition: "Noise is an unwanted perturbation to a wanted signal." Brilliant! This is why we (the...
  12. kut2k2

    Imaginary "Don't risk your money on myths"

    Argent, what do you think of using a spreadsheet as a backtest platform? I've had some mixed success, but mainly due to my recent discovery that I was measuring price noise all wrong and I have to reformulate my metric. That of course is not a limitation of the platform, just my own myopia on...
  13. kut2k2

    Don't risk your money on myths

    Maybe the lesson to learn here is to stop waiting so long between your posts. If you're going to start off with a promise to present something, why give the trolls a chance to threadjack before you present it?
  14. kut2k2

    Backtesting and Strategy Validation - How Much is Enough?

    You'd be amazed. Supercomputers are no better than their programmers, and those PhD programmers mostly aren't the geniuses you're assuming they are. Most can't think outside the box, in fact they get paid to NOT think outside the box (random walk theory and other garbage). Most are great with...
  15. kut2k2

    Don't risk your money on myths

    Still waiting for this. I respectfully request that the rest of you take your arguments elsewhere, then maybe we'll get some inputs from Murray on what he promised. Thanks.
  16. kut2k2

    Warning: Online Trading Academy (tradingacademy.com)

    No and no. People lose money in trading for many reasons, and using crappy indicators based on poor data smoothing may be one of them.
  17. kut2k2

    Chandelier Stop users?

    Well you can't trade the past so hanging the chandelier from a previous high makes no sense to me. My 2¢ worth.
  18. kut2k2

    Technical Analysis = CRAP

    Most everything in the public domain, you mean. There's stuff in the private domain you have no idea about. Nobody knows everything there is to know about objective TA. And I'm sure Aronson is a great guy; that doesn't mean his analysis isn't flawed.
  19. kut2k2

    Technical Analysis = CRAP

    Because you've personally tested every possible objective-TA-based strategy there is, right? :D Or are you hoping to goad somebody into just handing you their successful objective TA strategy, just to shut you up? Tell you what. You PROVE that objective TA doesn't work under any...
  20. kut2k2

    Technical Analysis = CRAP

    Random entry only "works" when coupled with a high-quality exit as well as good money management. And it NEVER beats the buy-and-hold. You've been told this many times yet you keep coming back with the same old BS time after time after time, like a broken record. You repeatedly post this...
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