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  1. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    I have a blind spot when it comes to TA (charts), but I think you have a blind spot when it comes to FA (funnymentals) I'm sofa .... bullish since last weekend because of funnymentals, that I only look at charts to confirm my bias uptrend move
  2. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    Tai Zen doesn't post much on Twitter, I used to watch a lot of his videos in 2017 bull market, he and his crew hit it big with altcoins, and they started traveling to bitcoin/crypto conferences, I was a little bit jealous also wanted to do the same, haha I sort of hit it big in 2017 bull market...
  3. johnarb

    News Fidelity Investments has Opened Bitcoin Trading to the Public During Ongoing Banking Crisis

    It's custodial bitcoins. PayPal started with something similar, you can buy bitcoins and other cryptos but could not withdraw, eventually PayPal enabled it after a while Fidelity is a good company so I'm pretty sure they would actually hold the bitcoins they sell For certain professionals...
  4. johnarb

    If you think the Fed will stop hiking, look at Bitcoin

    Yup, the skeptics like to attack a piece of the Bitcoin system. It's their way of justifying they are mentally and emotional weaklings incapable of investing in a very volatile speculative asset One of the books I read that helped me on this thought process is "Complexity: The Emerging Science...
  5. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    Thanks! Just woke up for bathroom break and see the price. Been staring at it for 10 minutes and not sure whether to go to sleep or add to position now... Finally decided to add, my noob chart analysis is that btc is on an uptrend Hope I can go back to sleep
  6. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    Funnymentals are strong, tidal wave of liquidity is going to hit the markets (also in Europe) I'm adding if btc goes above $27k and stays there for 30 minutes If my prediction of $30k for btc hits by Sunday night, my next target is $50k within 3 months
  7. johnarb

    Crypto Macro Trends for 2022

    Great article from Arthur Hayes BTFP = Buy The Fucking Pivot! = YCC = QE (not QE) = money printer go brrr tl;dr = btc to moon = $1M/btc ----------- https://cryptohayes.medium.com/kaiseki-b15230bdd09e Kaiseki (Any views expressed in the below are the personal views of the author and should...
  8. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    How many hours before BTC closes above $25K and will you be closing your position or reverse long?
  9. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    Great call, Da Mick! Don't want to jinx it but btc above $25k in much less than 24 hours and doesn't look at this time to be going below
  10. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    I agree with this! And I haven't given up on $30k by Sunday night... $2T of liquidity will be injected into the banking system as a result of the BTFP per JPM $30B was the first drops in the bucket deposited to First Republic today
  11. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    you still holding your short? I'm still holding my long. Good volatility the past 10 hours
  12. johnarb

    If you think the Fed will stop hiking, look at Bitcoin

    You're conflating companies or people that commit fraud with Bitcoin but this is incorrect Give me the txid that was fraudulent on the Bitcoin blockchain and I'll take a look -------- If someone paid for a good or service using a check and the check bounces, that is fraud, the person spent...
  13. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    You never heard of the "stay humble, stack sats"? or DCA? If you put in $100 every week at the exact top of the Bitcoin bull market cycle, you'd be up 1000's of percent even at the bottom of the next bear market cycle You will outperform 99% of the Bitcoin traders out there Don't take my word...
  14. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    Yes, all those things you mentioned. Reddit, too, r/cryptocurrencies, plus crypto research website, defi llama, dexscreener, coingecko, coinmarketcap, and many others But the 1000's of % moves are not available to non-crypto folks, many of the tokens I mentioned were not listed on mainstream...
  15. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    Not sure if you're mocking me but I'll bite :D Ampl risk-capital on the position was ~$28k, peak value of position was over $700k (no one catches the top), got out in sections about ~$200k traded to other cryptos Cel tokens, risk capital less than $30k, peak value of position was over $2M...
  16. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    I understand what you're saying but a 30% move in bitcoin is hardly parabolic from my experience You're correct that I want it to go up fast in the short term but that's because of my short term trade position, but if this is the start of a new bull market, it is usually a 1-2 years of uptrend...
  17. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    I like this chart analysis more than yours :rolleyes:
  18. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    Yes, definitely CS and DB should have gone bankrupt and shutdown a long time ago and most everyone are aware... But it's the contagion effect to their counterparties, heck even the businesses that supply to them or the landlords they rent buildings from or the shareholders or the creditors and...
  19. johnarb

    If you think the Fed will stop hiking, look at Bitcoin

    Yes, if you own bitcoin the digital asset, you are part owner of the Bitcoin monetary network and bitcoin is traded on exchanges all over the world as well as p2p markets, i.e. restaurant in Lugano or a vegetable market in Turkey All of the Bitcoin miners and their infrastructure costs and...
  20. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    btc had lots of volatility in the past 12 hours... Another bank failure (Credit Suisse?) could send bitcoin above $27k
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