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http://www.frontlinethoughts.com/pdf/mwo050908.pdf ....."Assume you have 10,000 people who flip a coin once a year. After five years, you will have 313 people who have come up with heads five times in a row. If you put suits on them and sit them in glass offices, call them a mutual or a...

I appreciate you keeping this up to date, thank you.

You have to read the link. "The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) of the Department of Commerce publishes the GDP statistics. They tell us the US economy grew by 0.6% in each of the last two quarters. They come by that number by taking the nominal or “current dollar” measure of the...

Folks, unless your dumber than a bag of hammers, we are in a recession. The gubmint used ficticious inflation to get to positive growth for the last 2 Q's. What that means now? Who cares, but I had to point it out after Kudlow pulled his told ya so bullshit. The bogus #'s kept bush and ben...

http://us1.institutionalriskanalytics.com/pub/IRAMain.asp The Subprime Three -- Rubin, Summers & Greenspan April 28, 2008 "The events surrounding the financial difficulties of Long-Term Capital Management L.P. ("LTCM") raise a number of important issues relating to hedge funds and to the...

A bear making a bull call here, I have VLO as a buy now. I knew this would happen, it was inevitable. Texas is asking for a 50% reduction in the ethanol requirement on blending. This will be replicated for the whole US and will increase refining demand. VLO looks awfully cheap here anyway...

i think you should study the 3 prominent waves down from the 2000-2002 time frame on a weekly chart. So far the timing of turning points (measured in weekly bars) is almost identicle. That being said, we should peak and have the next leg down either next week or the following. What is...

into george and dicks bank accounts.

Absolutely agree 150%. The Fed gov's are all academics that read the textbooks. It's like going to the doctor with a sore throat, the doctor doesn't ask how you got it, he just takes a guess that it is bacterial or viral based on Textbook criteria, and prescribes an antibiotic in most cases...

The commodity futures markets are not being manipulated by conspiracy, but they are being manipulated by sheer market size. Imagine if you will, that you, me, your 2 best friends and george soros sat down to play poker at a no limit table. Who do you think will walk away with all the money?

Hearing rumors that Independence hub will be back up and running in the next few days. They pressure tested it and it passed, now they will flow test it large scale and likely keep it on and make sales for gas flow friday. This is 10% of offshore production.

http://us1.institutionalriskanalytics.com/pub/IRAStory.asp?tag=271

http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/laland/2008/04/california-fo-1.html

Hedge Fund Trader a.k.a. Day7793 as well as other aliases he has has helped me tremendously wif my spellin and grammer, lik stock trad3r, I couldnent emagen whut it'd be lik wifout thim.

stock trad3r, he is a brilliant genius. We are fortunate to have someone of his caliber here.

I think alot of you are missing the fact that oil is a globally arbitrageable commodity that is easily shipped to the highest bidder. The reason we don't get much oil directly from the mid-east is shipping costs. It is cheaper to source our oil from geographically closer locations and is why...

Gold is the new real estate, everyone coming late to the party now is going to get fucked in the ass. This trade is sooo overcrowded now. Not saying this is the top, but I wouldn't be buying it now.

They government doesn't care what they lend, they know it will all be defaulted anyway when the next wave of immenent terror attacks over here set us back 10 years+. Just going through the motions.

When I was on the floor, we called those "Mutilate if touched"

Moral of the story, Cancel "the club".