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    Bitcoin Price - What's keeping it up? No longer volume.

    Actually, I don't think you can impute that this correlation has broken down from your graph. Maybe try looking at a scatter plot of logs of both and check where the recent points are?
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    New York Post Article - Is Trump Winning His Trade Wars?

    Well, would you deny that (a) his personal business record is rather spotty, considering the resources/access he was provided by his dad and that (b) his political performance has been a comedy show so far?
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    Historical option datas

    When you mean "series", do you mean closest-to-atm fixed strike? I.e. approximately index implied over mean single implied or do you mean something else? It's actually a tricky question, as both implied and realized correlations are multiply defined. For example, if you are using ex-post...
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    Historical option datas

    Right. I will definitely check it out when I get a chance.
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    Have you tried Build Alpha

    In fairness, there is nothing wrong with a bit of data dredging if you are correcting your statistical significance properly (Bonferroni correction is the easiest one, albeit rather conservative).
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    Historical option datas

    No, I have not (though I have heard that their infrastructure has improved significantly). Maybe I will check it out tomorrow. I do have access to BBG options database and their vols/greeks are fairly accurate. S&P index is a market-cap weighted based of stock and those stocks do pay dividends...
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    Historical option datas

    Having looked at your data some time ago, I'd not go as far as calling these numbers "greeks" :P
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    How to trade volatility?

    Monkeys actually know their stuff...
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    The Trinity Of Errors In Trading Models

    I love TensorFlow but I think you should register as a vendor before engaging in self-promotion here :)
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    How to trade volatility?

    "He is such a pessimist - when he bought a put/call combo, the legs added to 90 delta"
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    Margins on Futures Options

    Actually, there are exchanges out there that treat futures options as deferred premium - i.e. you post some initial margin against the premium, not the full amount and true-up daily (same way you'd do with a futures).
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    The crypto world is going wild for 'stablecoins' — here's everything you need to know about them

    Intuitively, all of these "stablecoins" should trade at some discount to parity due to inherent credit/entity risk. The smaller/dodgier that "stablecoin" the larger discount to parity should get. You'd also expect the creators to build some form of gating into the redemption process so people...
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    Writing puts on indexes

    I hear there is a state down south where this concept originated. They also voted for Trump
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    It's guaranteed you gonna die, you might get missed For maybe 2 or 3 hours, 'til they light...

    It's guaranteed you gonna die, you might get missed For maybe 2 or 3 hours, 'til they light their spliffs
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    How to trade volatility?

    So far nothing you said has any practical application, it's the usual ET-babble. There is obviously a lot of nuance in synthetic vs cash ownership such as voting rights, the treatment of the corporate actions etc. For most retail traders such as yourself these details are irrelevant and there is...
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    How to trade volatility?

    In your view, what is the difference between a synthetic and outright option? Not a psychological difference in terms of "owning the underlying" but an actual, tangible and practical impact. Personally, besides some possible transaction cost differentials and maybe some tax considerations, I...
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    Is experience at a prop firm required to be a successful retail trader?

    On an unrelated note, the theory of hedging your output with futures is somewhat different from the reality when dealing with agricultural commodities. A lot of the "commercials" that grow the product actually want to be long the futures. While it's counterintuitive, it makes more sense once you...
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    Why doesn't everybody just short VXX?

    I'll share some of mine, obviously :)
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    Synthetic quanto spread

    Do you mean for margin purposes? Shorter-dated stuff would be indeed discounted using the appropriate OIS. Longer dated stuff would frequently trade as deferred premium (i.e. you agree on forward exchange of premiums from all 4 legs) so discounting does not really matter much. As long as you...
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    What is the "MORE" that is needed from the soul of the aspiring Trader.

    A trader has to really like cookies!
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