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  1. Scataphagos

    The power of the almighty US dollar is a bit of a mystery

    Much of the rest of the world world would LOVE to see the $USD collapse... for political reasons. (They don't like living under the constraints of US sanctions, of course.) But economically... we've overspent and printed money... so has everybody else... thus $USD is still the "cleanest dirty...
  2. Scataphagos

    OK, who is going to lie and say they saw today's HUGE drop in the charts?

    Market once again tried to "front-run" anticipated Fed pivot... and got caught with their hand in the cookie jar. Doubt they've learned any lesson... look for same again another time or two.
  3. Scataphagos

    Are Decision Points Pending News Events?

    Market can/does "front run" expectations sometimes/often.... sometimes there is big disappointment... like today. If a trader wants to have a "play" on in anticipation of such news, best to already have a big profit cushion. How big is "big enough"? No way to tell. ES dropped about 100...
  4. Scataphagos

    If you had to start over...

    No volume bars or MAs on intra-day charts, but I keep the 200 and 50 day MAs on daily charts.... everybody does that. (Anyone who doesn't should be.) When those MAs act as support or resistance, they are Price TA plays. Sometimes the market goes back and forth across one or both MAs like they...
  5. Scataphagos

    If you had to start over...

    Marginally? You're kidding, right? Your entire objective as a trader is to get your money "in tune" with price. You don't get paid for any other notion.
  6. Scataphagos

    If you had to start over...

    Price Action + Psychology. Learn to "trade the chart... with discipline". Everything you need to know is in the chart. Whether you understand or agree/disagree... it's in the chart. The chart is always the final arbiter of price.
  7. Scataphagos

    Own Cryptocurrency? Watch this. | Robert Reich

    Reich is a dickhead much like Krugman.
  8. Scataphagos

    Jumbo Fed Rate Hike Is in Play as Powell Sticks to Hawkish View

    Yeah. JPow says, "I'm going to stay the course"... market says, "We don't believe you". Amazing. You/we can still trade this market but need to do so technically.... chart-based. Futile to have a notion of what will/should happen.
  9. Scataphagos

    Cashless economy?

    Not a small thing. If ever CBDC in America, we'll be like CCP. Anybody really want that?
  10. Scataphagos

    Jumbo Fed Rate Hike Is in Play as Powell Sticks to Hawkish View

    Early in the "interest rate rise" phase, banks do well because they can charge higher rates for their loans and capture a bigger spread. At some point, rates get too high and things come apart.
  11. Scataphagos

    ‘No sign of a rebound’: Mortgage applications hit 22-year lows, as home buyers pull back

    Wow... quite the opposite of my thinking. I live on the end of a cul-de-sac with one other home. 1/4 mile "run-up" to the end, so basically zero traffic past our house, which is a walk-out-ranch. Could be better only if a fishable river ran past our property. :)
  12. Scataphagos

    The benefits of the 2nd amendment!

    "To defend your person, you need a hand gun. To defend your home, you need a shotgun or carbine. To defend your liberty, you need a battle rifle"
  13. Scataphagos

    Jumbo Fed Rate Hike Is in Play as Powell Sticks to Hawkish View

    Amazing how the market goes, "F that... BTFD anyway". One possibility is that the market goes, "ignore this, ignore that", then at some point, HOLY CRAP (wouldn't be the firs time)! IMV, this is a high risk time to go big on either the bullish or bearish scenario.
  14. Scataphagos

    Hawkish Post-ECB Leaks Send Stocks Tumbling To Session Lows

    Market says, "screw that... BTFD anyway". IMV, the market is in the "disbelief" stage... and highly dangerous for the bulls. https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/stocks-bonds-dive-after-powell-comments
  15. Scataphagos

    Scatty's BIG VIEW on the market... in case you're interested

    "Nothing"? Are you dense? Lots of players are convinced bulls. Lots are also convinced bears. One of them is correct, but which? (My view, as stated, is currently "undecided"... just sit tight. The market will reveal in due time.) The greatest trading opportunities for profit are in the...
  16. Scataphagos

    Scatty's BIG VIEW on the market... in case you're interested

    1. The market is in a big Wave 4 correction from the C-19 low with ATHs to come. 2. Or, the market is genuinely bearish... but we're in the "Wave 1, disbelief" stage. To support #1, the market needs to take out the early year highs. To support #2, the market needs to take out the June lows...
  17. Scataphagos

    Why this maths genius refuses to work for a hedge fund

    IMV, a good trade can be explained to a your grandmother in 10 words. (Yes, that simple! OK, that's a bit of an exaggeration... but only slightly.)
  18. Scataphagos

    MES ONE Lot 2.75 Points Slippage ?

    I don't know about the MES in particular, but that time is pre-RTH in the US, so liquidity likely somewhat low. (see DOM) And in a fast market condition (like reaction to interest rate news), it's more likely to suffer greater slippage than normal.
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