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  1. D

    RONIN Capital is no more

    So the CME took a hit to its capital? They must have, whoever bought the assets at the auction probably didnt pay very much
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    If this is Armageddon why are Chinese stocks only 12% off this year's highs?

    They reopened their markets since then and it has been trading
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    If this is Armageddon why are Chinese stocks only 12% off this year's highs?

    Anyone can explain?
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    Bill Gates AMA about Coronavirus on Reddit

    California announced a shutdown, NY should be next
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    Bill Gates AMA about Coronavirus on Reddit

    "What is required is a very sharp lockdown to get Ro well below one – and put the virus into exponential decay." https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2020/03/coronavirus-getting-angry.html?spref=tw
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    https://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2020/03/coronavirus-getting-angry.html?spref=tw "What is required is a very sharp lockdown to get Ro well below one – and put the virus into exponential decay."
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    Bill Gates AMA about Coronavirus on Reddit

    good luck thinking its just old people https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/18/u-s-official-says-data-show-severe-coronavirus-infections-among-millennials-not-just-older-americans/ https://www.boston.com/news/health/2020/03/18/younger-adults-coronavirus "But of the 508 patients known to have been...
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    Bill Gates AMA about Coronavirus on Reddit

    You are out of your mind, Gates has been in this field for over a decade. Musk is just desperate to remain in business. You dont seem to understand that the death rate (both direct and indirect) is connected to the amount of infected people. 2% at might be at 10K patients but at 100M it might be...
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    Bill Gates AMA about Coronavirus on Reddit

    Its not hysteria, the death rate can increase based on the number of people infected. It might be 2% at low infection numbers but it can skyrocket at higher numbers. If 1M are infected, then people will be dying on the streets, literally. Not to mention the people ill for OTHER REASONs that will...
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    Bill Gates AMA about Coronavirus on Reddit

    www.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/fksnbf/im_bill_gates_cochair_of_the_bill_melinda_gates/ Essentially, he likes what China and SK are doing and thinks the US should follow them. That is, a nationwide temporary shutdown
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    China reports zero new domestic virus cases for first time

    The US needs to adopt the Asia model ASAP. China, HK, Singapure, SK are all showing how its done. I was in Macao in 2018, the Casinos and streets were PACKED with rich chinese people looking to gamble and have fun. Yet, they completely controlled the situation. They have 17 cases, 17!
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    Investor Bill Ackman advises to shut down the country, saying stock market ‘will soar’

    Looks like your people are full of shit. PSH is down -6% for the year. And that's his levered fund, the non levered one is down less https://pershingsquareholdings.com/company-reports/weekly-navs/
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Looks like we reached a bottom today. The reversal + action to the ECB news seems to show that participants have stepped in to buy in a big way. I deployed all my 'responsible' cash into this drop. I just havent thrown the kitchen sink yet. I still have my gold (which I think will go up so I'm...
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    So the Ackman idea was to buy a lot of stocks today because he thinks its inevitable that Trump will order a shutdown. So he is front running the announcement. I think that makes sense, the question is, how long it will take for them to do that? The states are doing gradually, some cities also...
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    https://www.cnbc.com/video/2020/03/18/watch-cnbcs-full-interview-with-billionaire-investor-bill-ackman-on-coronavirus-outbreak.html?&qsearchterm=ackman Ackman CNBC interview. This idea makes sense, so there is another potential catalyst for a SPY/ES trade there. If Trump goes the "China way"...
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    Investor Bill Ackman advises to shut down the country, saying stock market ‘will soar’

    you got an advance notice on his returns? PSH didnt put out the weekly NAV yet, but as of last week he was up due buying puts in the market
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    Investor Bill Ackman advises to shut down the country, saying stock market ‘will soar’

    He is right, China did it and their factories are coming back into production. 80-90% of Starbucks are open in China. China stocks are down -10% in the last 6 months. They laid out the path
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Yeah, thats what I plan to do but I will be using SPX levels instead. Its hard to see, -45% -50% not being a great moment to buy. So I will be scaling on the way down
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    Here is Bernanke supporting price level targeting https://www.brookings.edu/blog/ben-bernanke/2019/02/21/evaluating-lower-for-longer-policies-temporary-price-level-targeting/ I dont like this 'temporary' part, if you do it, you must be credible and saying its temporary sorta contradicts the promise
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    Global Macro Trading Journal

    The Fed might not be ready for NGDP targeting though, it would be a big change. But price level targeting, I think they are. They would essentially promise 2% inflation and would MAKE UP for unhitting that target if that happened. Effectively it would be an open ended QE that would guarantee...
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