Simmons is short BP and talking his book
http://blogs.barrons.com/stockstowatchtoday/2010/06/15/bp-simmons-still-sees-bankruptcy-massive-hole-at-the-well-bore/
Big deal, Barrons has people EVERY WEEK talking their book. Gabelli and others typically will list 4-5 reasons why the stock is...
Hugh Hendry and Richard Koo might want to revise their view that QE 'never worked' 'is innefective' respectively
http://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/mt/20100701/mtpub.pdf
US output soared from 1933 to 1937, employment did as well, even though the levels were still bad the rate of...
UK Tax to hit US banks
http://www.cnbc.com/id/37740778
"Analysts say the tax will be a negative factor when US banks report results for the April-June period next month, reducing earnings per share at Citi, JPMorgan and BofA by 10 per cent or more."
Ackman might not have taken that into...
Effectively the humans would always be playing white. Their track record with white against computers I'm sure is not as bad as black, furthermore they would develop all kinds of tricks to get the computers to make opening mistakes
BP is reported to have agreed to put $20b in an escrow account. I dont want to own this stock, the company doesnt have people in power that are strong enough to hold off its quasi-nationalization.
BP stock rallied on the news, I'm not sure why
Now rogers told CNBC he is actually buying the EUR. Maybe it works for a few weeks if that, but Spain continues to be under pressure, bonds down. If Spain doesnt turn the EUR will turn into the stock market in 2008 when the news were so bad it just could not rally, even though there were...
This problem can be solved through gold futures. Effectively borrowing at libor rates(which are much lower and dont carry pre-payment premium and term premiums as mortgage rates) and jumping net gold exposure to above 100%(this is significantly more risky than the alternative which is to above...
I'm looking to short some more the homebuilders in this upleg and also go back to a full position on the EUR short, hard to say how high this pig will go
Surprise surprise, the guys who loved financials are realizing the government will screw them for years. They made money because the market made a mistake of taking them to very levels that are not justified by the future capital and regulatory requirements that will nail them for a long-time...
If there is a time where models will fail its right now. So I dont agree much with the SF Fed research for no hikes till late 2012, specially after Bernanke saying they hike before employment is back to normal last week
US default is a possibility
http://www.capitalgainsandgames.com/blog/bruce-bartlett/1787/debt-default-it-can-happen-here
Yes, its unlikely but some folks claim the US CDS pricing is irrational because the US has a central bank and borrow in dollars, famous last words, Russia defaulted in its...