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I believe I already watched this episode. But this 'science' suffers from the issue of what does retail psychology have to do with institution psychology? There are different emotions, knowledge, mandates, rebalancing, incentives involved. So when someone looks at NUPL from 2017, that might be...

Maybe all that will take will be ONE large deposit into Coinbase/Binance when BTC is super high and everyone is super bullish and that will shift everyone's psychology from 'BTC to da moon' to 'shit, institutions are about to take profits' and then ALL the smart money will be dumping their BTC...

Also, there is nothing to prevent BTC from dropping 50% without major deposits into exchanges, because there is already plenty of BTC at exchanges to make the market collapse IF buyers are scared to buy and sellers are in panic. Price moves when one side is pressuring the market and the other is...

Yes, I'm look at them from time to time. That's what I meant by 'other indicators'. But they are similar to econometrics and the stock market. Its not a science, its an art because other people will also by looking at them. So its not about what the indicators are saying, but what people are...

Bitcoin has a tendency to make some really strong parabolic waves before its spectacular 80% crashes. I identified these waves by looking at "stable" periods right before surges that lead to big crashes. There wasnt some quantifiable rule for that, I just sorta used my trader judgement to see...

Current 'Best Estimates' for Covid-19 Fatility Rates by the CDC (Mar 2021): 0-17 years old: 0.002% 18-49 years old: 0.05% 50-64 years old: 0.6% 65+ years old: 9% https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html Thoughts?

The brand is everything. I have used CBD's with certificates of purity where I have felt nothing. But others I get tremendous effects (for sleep and anxiety). Enecta is my go to brand now

Start believing it then And all I do is to mine with 1 GPU (GTX 1070ti) I bought over 3 years ago. I pay no electricity (its included in my rent, but I dont abuse it). Its free money so I take it. Its not a lot but its very educational, particulary for people new to crypto

I use nicehash, their algo chooses the best currency at any given time given your hardware. Its just for fun though, unless you buy a crapload of GPUs you will only make a few bucks a day. But it can teach you about cryptocurrency and in the long-run get you familiar with this field, so its helpful

And I'm saying that I still see signs in your psychology of the very things that lead you to the two massive drawdowns. Yes, that has nothing to do with this thread but I had to point that out. I dont want to see you lose almost all of it again

Most bitcoin and crypto believers are complete morons, as is Peter McCormack. Just because someone was lucky enough to have found out about bitcoin early, that doesnt mean one should take comfort on their failures to risk manage their portfolios to justify having done the same. Yes, crypto can...

if that is so, they need to stop their banking activities

https://en.cryptonomist.ch/2021/04/09/hsbc-prohibits-purchase-microstrategy-shares/ Desperation just hit a whole new level

https://vitalik.ca/general/2021/04/07/sharding.html Article's like these are the reason why I'm very bullish on ETH in the long-run and why it might be bigger than BTC. There is just too much brain power in this community for something great not come out of it

https://www.indiewire.com/2021/04/nft-hollywood-non-fungible-token-1234628823/ "Now that the film is done, he’s taking a distinctly 21st-century approach by creating two types of non-fungible tokens, or NFTs: At $1,000 each, there’s 1,000 tokens that represent ownership shares that give profit...

You know what else China owns? Apple and Google https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/07/peter-thiel-criticizes-google-and-apple-for-being-too-close-to-china-.html

https://www.wsj.com/articles/investors-big-and-small-are-driving-stock-gains-with-borrowed-money-11617799940?mod=markets_lead_pos6 'As of late February, investors had borrowed a record $814 billion against their portfolios, according to data from the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority...

I hope China 51% attacks Bitcoin one day. Then the community gets together, changes the hashing algorithim Bitcoin uses and all the Chinese mining equipment is worthless overnight and the attack fails. Bitcoin will be stronger than ever and Xi will be more pissed than ever

https://cryptowat.ch/