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MIT researchers say you’re no safer from Covid indoors at 6 feet or 60 feet in new study challenging social distancing policies https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/23/mit-researchers-say-youre-no-safer-from-covid-indoors-at-6-feet-or-60-feet-in-new-study.html “We argue there really isn’t much of a...

Never forget: the day Craight Wright had a Freudian slip about "his" white paper

I think what Taleb means is that there is an element of great fool theory to it. That leads to the boom and bust cycles, which is correct. Taleb, who is already rich, doesnt have the risk tolerance to hold a volatile asset, especially after it went up 5-10x from where he got in. He wanted out...

I just hope Taleb is long gold (he usually is), he will get disrupted without owning the hedge. It will be hilarious. The man is a great risk theoretician but a horrible source of ideas on how to actually make money

How many tech trends did Taleb caught early on in his life? That's right, none

My calculation might have been off by some when I did it. I'm not subscribed to real-time Canada data. Should be between 10-20% though, and it fluctuates through the year. When these rates get really high, it might make sense for some to do this arb, but they need to be aware of the margin risk

I stand corrected

You can try the futures BRR and BAKKT for the nearest expiration, there is still likely to be a small premium to the spot market though. For ETH I dont know. ps: you got to pay for real-time futures data

Which skilled ETH developer wants to work at a bank? Especially a bank run by a nocoiner? That's the catch 22. Talent wants to go into real crypto projects, not desperate bankers

No but when I looked this morning, there was a decent profit even if the short were to hit the bid. Still, the margin issue is what holds me back

They idea would be to do both. Own coins and do the trade on the side with spare cash, unless you advocate 100% all-in BTC. But I would need 5x free margin over the requirements to cover any surprise from a margin hike before doing this

Buy BTCC.B (Canada Unhedged FX Bitcoin ETF). 1 BTC = 6690 shares (I think, better to double check this). Short an equivalent amount of BAKKT BTC June futures (ICE, each contract is 1 BTC). Earn 20-30% a year Risks: -IB could jack up margin requirements and get you liquidated on the futures leg...

I saw a Bitcoin thread here on ET in 2013. The chart had gone from a few dollars to $100. I thought it was a little bubble that was soon to crash. It proceeded to rise to $200 something and then crash. I was right I thought. I never thought about it until I heard about BTC again, in 2017....

"Gold is analog, Bitcoin is digital. It’s far superior to gold as a store of value, not just because it’s gone up 200% a year for 10 years, but because you can’t flee your country with millions of dollars worth of gold, as it’s bulky and hard to divide, whereas you can send Bitcoin anywhere in a...

The March 2020 bottom saw huge amounts of buying of options

A potential addition to my BTC timing model The cost of insuring against losses. Complacency = bad, fear = good

Just swapped some of my BTC for ETH. I like how the chart is looking Now I'm at 57% BTC, 34% ETH and 9% alts

Most people's worst case risk management is a 90-day Value At Risk model or some garbage like that

Just found an IPO I plan to invest in https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1841644/000121390021022408/ff12021_picsltd.htm Picpay (PICS) is a great Brazilian payment app company. Its like the WeChat of Brazil, except for the Chat part. As a regular user of this app I cant pass this...

https://www.wsj.com/articles/credit-suisse-taps-investors-for-cash-after-archegos-loss-widens-11619070830?mod=hp_lead_pos3 "Bank said it has lost $5.5 billion so far from the hedge fund’s failure, wiping out what had been a strong quarter for trading and deal making" I dont know what is worse...