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  1. K

    how far could the market go down?

    you already had warning from Apple and Microsoft. All travel, hospitality etc. will collapse Boeing has a good chance to bankrupt and likely will be bailed out but at what price to shareholders If there are school closures there will be direct huge hit to consumers Wall street has creative...
  2. K

    how far could the market go down?

    But what draw down can we expect in severe recession ( which probably is guaranteed now) and with buyback disappearance? I would say 40-50% but insane money printing by central banks sure can offset a lot of it. So it might be the Friday was the lowest of that coming recession Or if not I bet...
  3. K

    Futures down 1% - Could Monday be another 1%+ decline?

    +70 pts rally in 1 hours time to start selling a little I hope to see 3100 today to sell all and go short
  4. K

    how far could the market go down?

    I have some long so I want the market to go high hard I sold calls against of some longs Friday evening. I want them expire worthless but not to lose much on my longs so I want the market return to unchanged and stay there I have some cash to deploy so I want market to go down hard
  5. K

    It's over. Historical bull run has come to an end.

    Fed has instruments. Selling VIX futures should do the trick It should be much better than rate cut given market holding quite well it might happening right now Or if I'm wrong they can try to defend market from bear which is somewhere around 2700
  6. K

    It's over. Historical bull run has come to an end.

    it's up to PPT. for now holding 2900 which is not that bad
  7. K

    It's over. Historical bull run has come to an end.

    hmm, looks like it may even open limit down
  8. K

    It's over. Historical bull run has come to an end.

    PPT will be here for sure limit down according to my calculations 2808. May reach it within the next hour it may open 9 am tomorrow -7%-8%. then definetely PPT and rate cut 75 bps if they want to make it better than 1987
  9. K

    It's over. Historical bull run has come to an end.

    they need to replicate what Chinese done. Nothing fancy. Honestly they can put any number on the market at any point. It probably would cost them 1-2 trillion even now to make it 4000 tomorrow But US market corrupt. Fed will wait till goldman says. So you can expect S&P to go under 2000. And...
  10. K

    Is it going to be Friday morning or Sunday night?

    After Fed statement today likely no rate cut on Sunday. Looks like they wanna try to postpone rate cut till their scheduled meeting
  11. K

    Is it going to be Friday morning or Sunday night?

    I remember in 08 some one in a European bank did fat finger and futures were down 3% and Fed cut 75 bps 8am although it feels Sunday before future open 50 bps cut will be perfect time . everyone and their mother will be short Friday night Maybe 200 bln QE on top
  12. K

    The ego trip behind the push to lift ban on Chinese students

    You may dig a hole and live there till your own end. And introduce travel ban there This virus is not containable. Travel ban is stupid and useless Virus is already everywhere.
  13. K

    The ego trip behind the push to lift ban on Chinese students

    Travel ban is total stupidity. Virus already there. It surges in multiple countries. Should Korea travel ban introduced now? They have many cases Maybe total travel ban to outside world Virus is here. Accept it. Government introduced stupid 5ravel ban and must pay for damages. There is no...
  14. K

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    10% Nasdaq drop is nothin really Fed will start cutting if S&P drops 10% FOr nasdaq it's probably close to 15-17%
  15. K

    Tesla 2020

    Their battery technolgy available to anyone. They are not a leader
  16. K

    Short Squeeze and irrational market continues

    Nasdaq up 64% in the last 13 months and up another 0.2 % in the last 2 hours
  17. K

    Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

    Nasdaq is up 64% from dec 18. and already 10% this year It's very close to 2000 insanity. If virus scare passes it will blow another 20% easy. Maybe in a week How are they going to sustain it? Is Fed preparing summer crash to depose Trump? what would be a reason to blow such a bubble?
  18. K

    Trump on the market bubble

    Most of those post total BS. Especially those Toronto the best city on Earth I lived in Toronto for 15 years and it's the worst shithole I can imagine so is your other wisdoms Regarding valuation those were norms before 80s and they will be norm again some time in the future Doesn't mean I'm...
  19. K

    Trump on the market bubble

    He has more 3 000 post and still can't understand that current valuation is the result of insane money printing and actually march 2009 valuation were quite decent compared to early 80s
  20. K

    Indexmundi is adding a city every day !

    it doesn't mean a thing what really matters is this https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttrends.htm
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