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  1. D

    OIL to $80

    TOCOM now up 480.... but dont worry..it's non inflationary
  2. D

    Best long plays: Oil, gold, corn, sugar, cotton, soybeans

    PS: somebody please fix the US Dollar Index which has a weighting of the following currencies Euro EUR -- 0.576 Japanese Yen JPY -- 0.136 British Pound GBP -- 0.119 Canadian Dollar CAD -- 0.091 Swedish Krona SEK -- 0.042 Swiss France CHF -- 0.036 notice what's missing? our...
  3. D

    OIL to $80

    I show TOCOM July crude up 170 to 49190...don't ask what 170 is....yen I suppose
  4. D

    Best long plays: Oil, gold, corn, sugar, cotton, soybeans

    the whole idea centers on the fact that free markets are becoming centrally planned markets.... I thought that central planning theory died with the collapse of the USSR (was I wrong)...the rationale being that national security is the pretext for a concerted effort to subdue speculation...
  5. D

    Best long plays: Oil, gold, corn, sugar, cotton, soybeans

    the nat gas selloff blew thru a number of technical stops and didn't correspond to any fundamental event....the selloff was relentless in a manner that suggested a "managed' event was underway......just my view of it.... high nat gas prices really bothered Greenspan and he did something about...
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    Best long plays: Oil, gold, corn, sugar, cotton, soybeans

    i still have to say that $25K account is lite.... since you should only commit 20% of that at any one time, that limits things greatly.... and a 2 sigma event against you and now what?
  7. D

    Best long plays: Oil, gold, corn, sugar, cotton, soybeans

    hey BNTrader..... you've been beaten like a rented mule around here, so why not set up a papertrade demo account with one of the discounters and see how you do.... Xpresstrade used to have (may still have) a demo forex account where you can practice technicals, swing trading etc....
  8. D

    Best long plays: Oil, gold, corn, sugar, cotton, soybeans

    http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/Press/orders/2005/20051118/attachment.pdf essentially, JPM and others get to "dabble" in all things of stuff... and the hammering in nat. gas was blamed on them... when something tanks 30% in 8 days, there's always a villan
  9. D

    Best long plays: Oil, gold, corn, sugar, cotton, soybeans

    forttunati speaks wise words.... I stick to contracts that if I HAD to take delivery, I would actually like to own the stuff.... gold, silver, palladium.....etc..... I'm not sure what I would do with 1000 tons of bean oil.....
  10. D

    Best long plays: Oil, gold, corn, sugar, cotton, soybeans

    do some google work and you may find that a large NY bank was enlisted to pound nat. gas from $15 to $7 in eight consecutive trading days earlier this year.... recall that, mysteriously, Greenspan talked last year about the nat. gas "crisis" in Senate testimony.... I choose not to believe...
  11. D

    Best long plays: Oil, gold, corn, sugar, cotton, soybeans

    just trying to point out that there are more moving parts to the markets anyone can account for or input into any backtested model despite all the discussion by some wide minded economic types....but you knew that Market imbalances are the greatest that I've seen in 30 years of trading...
  12. D

    Best long plays: Oil, gold, corn, sugar, cotton, soybeans

    well as you wish, however, the sharks in the futures game don't wake up in the morning with the fear that you know more than they..... now more than ever, financial instuments of any kind are guided by quasi governmental agencies that have it in their best interest that the markets can be...
  13. D

    Best long plays: Oil, gold, corn, sugar, cotton, soybeans

    bntrader............. all the wonderful information in your post is good stuff if you're a buy and hold guy.... for a trader, your time horizon should be about a week or two, and with a $25K account, you're not likely to be able to ride out volatility long enough to find out if you're...
  14. D

    Best long plays: Oil, gold, corn, sugar, cotton, soybeans

    $25K is a little light...since you may (you will) suffer a severe drawdown and someday have to cover a black swan event.....i.e. margin call that you will need immmediate overnite cash to cover IMHO you really need to be aware of all tools technical since many players are driven by them...
  15. D

    $ Silver $

    Buffet himself said he sold long ago and "too early" .... If you really think it over, what did Buffet have to gain to get into the same league as the Hunt Brothers and to be associated with a messy commodity squeeze and the subsequent investigations and the like.... who would need the...
  16. D

    $ Silver $

    as long as LBMA dealings are non discoverable, no one will ever know the quantity of deliverable bars out there and the amount of silver stockpiles in private hands..... as other electronic exchanges come on-line with "deliverable" contracts, the picture can only cloud up..... we need a...
  17. D

    $ Silver $

    with World War 3.0.1 in the Mid-east..... metals have a decent shot at a retest of the highs, if the CBs will lay off sales
  18. D

    $ Silver $

    SIU06 just broke 10.80.......... "Kirk to Ivanovich...beem us up....do you read...beem us up" "Scotty...Spock...do you read...over"
  19. D

    $ Silver $

    crude oil and gasoline prices refuse to break lower.... we have to monetize it or you get a '73-'74 market.....so you exclude from the inflation numbers anything you need to monetize basically, Ben has little choice IMO.... he can't bust housing and a dollar crash is the lesser of 3...
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    $ Silver $

    what a difference a printing press makes....... Good ole BennyBurn is back on the reservation....churning out greenbacks in the name of truth, justice and the American way.....
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