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    Bond rally nearing an end?

    if cpi and ppi were calculated properly, we'd have a 9 handle by March..... where's Volker when you need him?
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    Time to bottom pick

    theory: crude started a collapse just after Cheney went to Arabia to get a lashing from the King re: security in Sunni Iraq...so the bargain was to send 20,000 more troops and in return, Arabia would let oil drift down to put the heat to Venezoo-ela and Iran....notice how OPEC has been silent...
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    Is Gold going to bounce off the Parabolic SAR or punch thorough it?

    an opinion........ the Bush admin. is in such a hole that its pulling every string to keep this tinker toy war from turning into World (Religious) War III the current set of parameters is costing $175 million PER DAY..... with no end in sight...........
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    Is Gold going to bounce off the Parabolic SAR or punch thorough it?

    stops were jumped at 620 and 625.... the trade claimed it was all short covering...likley bullshyt..... the Iraq war seems to be expanding into the Iran-Iraq-Somalia-Syria-(fill in the blank) war curious that Goldman reweighted their commodity index to reflect lower crude and product...
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    Is Gold going to bounce off the Parabolic SAR or punch thorough it?

    cbot was down for about an hour and the market ran $3 during the outage
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    Bond rally nearing an end?

    the dirty little lie about CPI is that all taxes (local, state and federal) are not components of the index..... not sure about everyone else, but property tax rates are increasing fast around here........ as a cost item, it should be in the index... hope you feel better about...
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    Bond rally nearing an end?

    40% of the treasury market is held by foreign central banks that dont have to mark to market ....so with that demand able to soak up debt at any price without regard to showing a loss,....easy to see why everything is screwed up...... IMHO, debt is used to contol currency valuations which I...
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    Bond rally nearing an end?

    the point of my posting the graph was to show that nominal for sale numbers are in an economy that is suppose to be booming... can you guess where the numbers would be if we have a real recession?? leveraged trades started to blow up this week....gold, oil, silver, copper etc.... the...
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    Bond rally nearing an end?

    I think the idea here is that a reversion to the mean is still a collapse rather than a "slowdown" all this a result of the Fed. using a firehose to distribute credit like there's no tomorrow...and there maybe no tomorrow.... if you happen to be a sub prime lender that is...
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    Bond rally nearing an end?

    not sure where this corrects, but it looks as though a housing price collapse can happen if rates really sky.... OK Bernanke, who's gonna sop up this supply?
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    $ Silver $

    wow, even LME copper couldn't pull silver down today... wonder what's up other than funds doing the usual...
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    At least hide the fact

    Gee, guys.... at least hide the fact that "somebody" knew the inventory numbers early.... the red line is when the data crossed
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    Bond rally nearing an end?

    the Fed has elected at least one pot plant to talk inflation since any deflation or recession talk takes the Dollar index from 8300 to 7800 and puts a foot up the mud pipes on Wall Street we're past bonus season so fingers are on the trigger, GOOG from $400 to $350...canary in the coal mine
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    FEDs Fisher Says Rate Rise May Be Needed to Slow Inflation

    when junk credits start to float to the surface, I wonder what the jargon will turn to .....
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    $ Silver $

    I'm holding on since Iraq is suppose to execute Saddam in January and the lid should really come off..... the Fed. continues to firehose the earth with banknotes
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    Commentary on Silver?

    no idea...
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    Iteresting that the Bolsheviks are acting like Arabs

    they might feed me some polonium 210 for this but this is looks like the start of a pattern http://www.guardian.co.uk/russia/article/0,,1970064,00.html
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    $ Silver $

    silver will be ok for awhile until Silvercorp's Ying mine in China gets cooking.... it is a Titanic sized silver reserve of around a billion oz. with possibly as much inferred........and the cash cost is negitive re: silver since zinc will support the thing alone....
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    Commentary on Silver?

    one other note: if zinc prices triple no one notices....but if silver or gold goes up 20%, it's the end of civilization now who made the most money?
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    Commentary on Silver?

    I ususally watch the US dollar index and the oil market... and the guy in Iran that is 3 bricks short of a full load this guy is doing a reasonable job of compiling data on metals http://www.nowandfutures.com/metals.html and he has a M3 money supply charts that is cobbled together...
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