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go long es or spy or dia at 50 day weekly moving average, go short or hedge with puts when 50 day weekly moving average is crossed to the negative, or build a black box for several million. Notice lots of pain in black box world for the last few months except for those short the sub prime...

agree here. http://www.seykota.com/tribe/risk/index.htm

Beam me up Scotty!!

I think all he is saying is that the past does not predict the future. If we knew (absolutely) the future, there would be no argument. Taleb calls this "epistemic humility", this comes in handy trading real dollars; has saved me a lot of cash and heartache. :)

chart with pivots.

looks like a run to R2.

When you think this has bottomed let me know. I like the product but there is not much volume although it seems to be increasing. Chart looks straight down to me, only $36.09 to go to free gas, will that include delivery?

My sides are hurting. :D :D :D

Any thoughts on USDJPY, up or down. Maybe you can redeem yourself.

fair enough, thanks.

what is your outlook on USDJPY for the next six months to a year?

Do you know who Maverick74 is?

lots of rate cut rumours floating around. Someone is frontrunning these rumours, do they know something?

Tuco trading, you could also do remote with some of firms that post on the board. Search San Diego prop firms for an old thread.

I just read a similar article. Man I wonder who else is doing this shit? Borrow off someone else's assets, buy x, hope and pray when the position goes against you. Sounds like your typical hedge fund move. Does anyone use stops anymore. I am starting a new hedge fund called Martingale...

I just don't understand that, what is the advantage of having the long term paper if you are in the money market business? the idea of locking up your cash for 30 years for 5 or 6 percent doesn't make sense. Still no one has really explained what they did to screw up so badly. The last article...

Did you do anything differently, not honor a stop, lack of a plan, etc. Also, dreams are a lot of time trying to work out confilct in your daily life. When I was younger I had a job as a gardener, I would mow and water grass for hours and hours at a time. When I went to sleep all I would see...

Its strange because there are quite a few folks who would probably want to think he was set up. I just can't understand how people don't see that their actions have consequences. I mean banging on the guy is too easy, so I will leave that to the various and sundry sportcasters whose panties are...

In case you live on the moon, he pleaded guilty today. He had signed a contract worth 100 milllion dollars. My point is not to bash the guy, I just feel part of the problem is the hubris that comes with the money, fame, etc. Everyone is responsible for their actions, this is just a reminder to...

well there is your answer, short it is.