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  1. K

    Trend Following Is Dead

    SPX
  2. K

    Trend Following Is Dead

    ok fair enough, I think you come off that way to this board maybe unintentionally, also I think it would be much more helpful to expound on what you believe works in the market vs telling others what doesn't. I would agree that to predict the future in financial terms is difficult, but don't all...
  3. K

    Trend Following Is Dead

    its pointless to argue with Surf as he never defines his terms and anyone who uses an indicator, follows a trend, is part of a cult. Worse he believes he is saving others, and his price drivers and subequent calls leaves one longing for the simplicity of a 50 day sma. Then there is the constant...
  4. K

    pretty devastating cohen article

    http://www.businessinsider.com/sac-capital-indicted-2013-7 interesting use of the word "edge" http://blogs.reuters.com/alison-frankel/files/2013/07/SAC-Indictment-Stamped.pdf
  5. K

    Random

    Carlos Danger.........ssshhhh! :D
  6. K

    Questions about credit spreads!!! Help me!

    ok I think I understand this. You are saying the terminal distribution or price at expiration overrides theta, is that correct?
  7. K

    Questions about credit spreads!!! Help me!

    "Two, theta for all practical purposes does not really exist. It's up there with the unicorn and the tooth fairy. The greeks were never created to measure sensitivity on individual issues. They were always meant to understand aggregate risk since aggregate risk is considerably more difficult to...
  8. K

    topsteptrader combine for Oraclewizard77

    punting futures directionally is a tough way to go, add in undercapitalized? I always thought that the job of a prop firm was the training, the value add. It doesn't seem these guys are trained how not to lose. Max draw 3% with 8.5% profit target, not sure how realistic this is for new guys.
  9. K

    MSFT worst day in 4 years, ok last 15?

    this move has my attention, dismal earnings but they still are a force to be reckoned with. This is an interesting vol play have no idea where it is headed by thinking a pair along with the qqq with 7 x 3 ratio, just an idea. Remember this guy is running the show...
  10. K

    topsteptrader combine for Oraclewizard77

    he who must not be named, lest ye get a Hershey sized revenge post with fractals, traversing etc., here's what you need to do get a three ring binder.........blah blah......taking beeelions from the full offer of de mkt....:p
  11. K

    topsteptrader combine for Oraclewizard77

    yawn where's the beef, oracle making any $$$ today? sorry didn't see your post with all the pontificating, positive for the week good job!
  12. K

    ES Journal - 2013

    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-25/guru-networks-sell-social-investing-to-copycat-traders.html
  13. K

    Surfer Alerts

    turn it up!!:D :D :D http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tb8iH3F28LA
  14. K

    Best Santelli Rant in a while..

    Here is the problem, per the fed's dual mandate it is trying to inflate, in fact they are short of their current target of 1% and looking for close to 2% by 2015. Its right here: http://www.chicagofed.org/webpages/publications/speeches/our_dual_mandate.cfm see graph under consumer...
  15. K

    Best Santelli Rant in a while..

    agree good summation of what's going on. Fed printing at minimum has and will have negative unintended consequences. If you look at the problems on the state level in the US you can see what's going on. Its pretty glaring because the states can't print to pay their obligations.
  16. K

    ES Journal - 2013

    a lot of times when you identify a trend day waiting at least till the end of the day to put on a reversal position is helpful. Tomorrow is another day, insane move on nq today.
  17. K

    ES Journal - 2013

    every trader has been there at one time or another, the powers that be caught alot of people short with this last move. :)
  18. K

    Is the market manipulated?

    right I was trying to walk you thru the mindset. If you lost big on Silva for example its much easier to say he threw the fight than to admit you made a bad bet. I had a teacher who would always refrain "kill your ego" its that part that really wants and needs to be right. Let's face it it...
  19. K

    Is the market manipulated?

    Smart players know what they don't know, gotta be careful throwing I KNOW around. How many times does someone watch a stock go up and say I knew that was gonna happen. Bias right, what's a fair bet, most would argue that the market is rigged because I am not successful at it, by that metric...
  20. K

    ES Journal - 2013

    surf couldn't trade like risk on his best day, such a tool sometimes. All hat and no cattle!:D
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