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    netflix earning play?

    looks like i should done it as 1:1. bad news this pig gapped instead of crashing, good news it stopped around 165, right in my 160/165/170 fly in afterhours. Guess i have to monitor this tomorrow to see what's going on.
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    IV formula

    From my understanding brute force is a commonly used method to calculate IV if the option price is known. Is there anything wrong with the below method? price calculation is based on b&s model. 1) start with 0.5 default IV, calculate option price A 2) if A is within 0.05 difference of...
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    software already written in java/c sharp

    plenty but not free like IB, basically you just looking for a live data feed bundled with a java api you can call. Checkout dtniq.com for example.
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    Short straddles - Risk management

    looks like you are thinking of daytrading this thing? i think the slippage will be a big problem. The only reason to open a short straddle is a play on high IV, waiting for theta decay isnt really a good idea.
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    The Top is Now In...Go to Cash now...right now...

    are you holding your shorts until after qe2?
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    Shanghai market ON FIRE

    50 etf index the equivalent of the sp500. Last week: Overall since 2005, looks like just getting started. waiting for a pullback, but it's not coming....
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    The time to buy Real Estate is now or soon

    Who can predict those things 10+ years down the road. The best you can do is diversify your investment and hang on for the ride. Right now that means the usa real estate + stock market, china's real estate + stock market and commodities.
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    netflix earning play?

    With netflix at $155, i did the following positions at $500 per 10x contract. 20x oct 22 135/140/145P fly 10x oct 22 160/165/170C fly if the expectation is a big move after earning i think this is better than a straddle since i wont have to deal with the IV drop after earning, and the...
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    Record breaking Apple Price target now at $500!!!!

    Apple had a nice run up to earning with extreme expectations now. Usually it's a good opportunity to do a short on these type of price actions before earning. But it's one of the strongest companies out there, and it always surprise to the positive side, look at the previous 4 quarter earning...
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    GOOG - Earnings Trade; Pick a Strike

    heh you are dead if you sold anything on the plus side... aapl on deck
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    GOOG - Earnings Trade; Pick a Strike

    So what are you saying? naked short the atm straddle or do a guess-a-strike fly going into google earning? If we are throwing darts, i would pick short 570/580 oct15 vertical instead.
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    The Top is Now In...Go to Cash now...right now...

    if the earnings hold, the trigger will probably be qe2 announcement at beginning of nov. I wouldnt want to hold anything long going into it. on the other side of the globe, china stock market is looking to start its bull run after years of slump. real estate is no longer an investment...
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    microsoft trying hard once again to gain market share in the smartphone race!

    yes back then windows mobile was really the only os for smartphones unless you like palm. I remember trying to use it when the whole smartphone came out, with one of them latest keyboard nokia bricks to place trades on optionsxpress and try a few websites. It was an absolute nightmare...
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    Wall Street II is a Disaster

    Every character in the movie represents a symbol in the meltdown winnie: hippy liberal - peace on earth jake: how average joe get to wall street jake's mom: real estate speculators who got killed frank's company: lehman brother + bear stern frank: dick fuld (minus the jumping in...
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    What will be the catalyst to cause the markets to drop?

    official announcement of QE2
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    $400 per gallon oil. 100+ fuel trucks set on fire

    The reason bush sr didnt go all in on iraq was exactly because he and his advisors realized what a disaster it will be for the us. And they have been proven right as evident by the iraq war bush jr got us into. Man are you really that stupid, you think if bush sr decided to invade iraq back...
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    Wall Street II is a Disaster

    This might as well be a daytime soap opera + cnbc. There is no movie, much less anything about wall street other than the scenery setting. Just a few random talking points plugged into it. From the get-out-of-jail trailer of gekko, i was expecting a movie about his rise to the top again...
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    Investing in 3D

    +1 long imax
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    $400 per gallon oil. 100+ fuel trucks set on fire

    Because A) The bush govt was ran by morons 2) Long term war brings in profit for the defense contractors/oil companies etc.. It's probably a combination of both, under estimating the problem and greed... Bush sr had it right, they did just that - boom and zoom in iraq. And it was a quick...
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    Soros: China must fix the global currency crisis

    Not a bad article, but it's hilarious reading soros write about international cooperation and rising living standard, here's a guy who destroyed countries to make a few buck is now preaching international cooperation.
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