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Yeah, politically it's easier to overspend/cut taxes than it is to cut services or increase taxes. Everybody wants to live bigger than they can afford. The world does not expect balanced budgets, but they expect that we can pay off our debts in the future. Once that belief is gone then we're...

Most analysts expect an increase in turnout, because of the early voting/mail in voting that's become available. The key reason why I'm pretty confident in a Biden victory is he's polling around 50% in the key states. There's way less undecided/people saying they're voting third party this time...

No doubt if Biden wins they'll start pretending that they care about "fiscal responsibility" again.

I’m calling total bullshit on this one and I’m not even going to bother refuting it. If Trump wins even 20% of the black vote it’ll be surprising.

Every other major poll has Biden up 7-10 points over the past week. This is an outlier by a polling firm that leans Republican. I’d bet a huge sum of money Trump doesn’t win the popular vote. Based on the aggregate data I would be surprised if Biden didn’t win PA and WI by at least 2 points and...

It's because there's too many candidates. A former VP is going to have a base of 25% support just by the fact he was the former VP and everybody knows who he is. Everybody open to another candidate (not Bernie or Biden) was very splintered. If there were like 5 candidates instead of 25 or...

The Fed's used all its bullets so its up to Congress/POTUS to pass a massive stimulus package to keep propping it up (and put us further in debt of course).

There were multiple candidates much better than Biden (Buttigieg, Klobuchar, Delaney, etc), but when you have 20+ people running having the most name recognition helps a ton as the GOP also found out in 2016. When it came down it there was a panic coalescing around the known commodity to beat...

Hillary won 94% of the female black vote. I doubt it's going to be that much different for Biden this time whether or not they went around and found a few undecided voters so they could use it for a TV clip.

https://www.reuters.com/article/uk-factcheck-tax-biden/fact-check-biden-has-not-proposed-an-annual-3-federal-tax-on-homes-idUSKBN26224L Fake news. His tax increases (if implemented) would hit high earners really hard though (in some cases rates of over 60% after state/local income taxes are...

I think the turnout will be larger, because more people have found they could vote by mail. Where I grew up nobody voted early so if you were busy on Election Day you didn’t vote.

Joe Biden has about 100 friends and family voting for him. The rest are voting against Trump. Trumpers underestimate the hatred towards this guy. He’s more polarizing than either Obama or Bush.

I’m not buying that Trump lost anymore support from the debate. Survey Monkey is one of the least reliable polling companies out there and it typically skews left (by +5% according to 538). They’re on the verge of being banned by 538 with a D- rating, because of how inaccurate it is. We’ll know...

I think Trump is pretty effective at using Hunter Biden to deflect all of ethics violations. People paying attention see one compared to who knows how many on his side. However, the average person sitting down see corruption on both sides and might not vote at all as a result. I also think Trump...

Trying to look at it from the perspective of undecided voters, I honestly thought Trump had his best debate ever. Now I know he lied almost the entire debate, but I don’t think undecided voters will pickup on that. They will see that Biden looks/acts much older (which isn’t a good thing at...

I wonder who he was on the call with that made him so horny.

Probably has already been granted asylum in Russia.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-anthony-fauci-criticism-coronavirus.amp Why is Trump going after Fauci and attacking Biden for “listening to the scientists” today? Is he trying to lose?

Cutting the budget no doubt hurts the economy short-term which is why politicians never cut spending. If they’re not going to cut spending it would be nice if they transferred a lot of that defense spending over to projects that could have a better ROI through future economic growth (r&d, a...

He's constantly posting racist garbage in political section. Here are some of his threads: https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/anyone-can-be-a-millionaire-in-america-i-mean-anyone.350682/...