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Who called it for Collins? They used rank choice voting.

I think Biden is going to win NE-2. He's outperforming the congressional candidate by quite a bit who lost last election by 4 points. That means Trump will have to win 2/3 of MI, WI, and PA assuming MN and NV aren't in play.

Looks like Trump will win OH, IA, NC, GA, TX, and FL. I know IA is in Biden's camp right now, but I doubt it stays that way the way shit's going. Almost all of Polk is in.

No states have flipped that were outside the margin. I said the other day that Trump was going to lose MI and WI, then have to run the table. AZ and NE2 look terrible for him. So not only does he have to win PA, but either MI or WI as well.

If he loses MI and WI I won't ever rely on a poll again. They've been polling them constantly showing consistent Biden leads of >+7.

He doesn't need PA with AZ and NE2.

If that 8 point margin holds I'm not confident anymore.

Actually he only needs one of NE2 and ME2. NE2 is the most likely to flip. If Biden flips AZ, MI, WI, and NE2 he's the president. The 269 tie happens if Biden wins AZ, MI, and WI, but Trump holds everything else.

He's flipping MI. PA is more likely to stay the same. If Trump flips one state it'll be NV, but it's highly unlikely.

I'm going to be proven right with the 4 states I talked about.

I'll eat my words and lose money if I'm wrong. I still feel confident.

No, he needs MI and WI. He could then win with either PA or a combo of AZ+NE2+ME2.

If you follow politics at all then you should know that Trump isn't winning RI. There's a 0% chance that happens. There's a better chance Biden wins AL. VA is almost certainly going to Biden too. That's >99%, but not quite 100% like RI.

They're missing a lot of Cinci votes. That's Biden territory. It's going to tighten again.

It's about the margin. It's an indicator for MI, WI, and PA. Remember that he won them all by less than 1% last time.

I better get some money on this. I still feel confident. How is Trump going to defend MI, WI, and PA if he's not holding OH like he did?

If AZ, MI, WI, and NE-2 flipped we got a 269 tie lol.

Nope, I'm confident that Biden will flip AZ, PA, MI, and WI. That's all he needs.

I expect Biden to flip: AZ, PA, MI, and WI for sure. OH, NC, GA, TX, and IA are still possible with OH and NC being most likely. It's no landslide, but it's going to be a Biden win.

The fact that OH and TX are even this close means AZ, PA, WI, and MI will go to Biden.