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No, I don't think! The world economy would be massively massively impacted at every level if the world's biggest economy, biggest market, source of reserve currency, and store for most of the wealth of countries like China suddenly devolved into civil war so bad that US dollars had suddenly had...

You can't be long and short the same stock at the same time...at IB or any U.S. broker.

Maintenance of solar is a nightmare? There are three components to a typical solar array. 1. Panels. No moving parts, typically 20-30 year warranty, very little ever goes wrong with them unless a poor manufacturer makes a bad batch. 2. Inverter. May have one moving part, a cooling fan, but...

Because they're shithole countries, not the world's reserve currency. If the world's reserve currency suddenly becomes worthless the worldwide impacts are monumental. If Zimbabwe's currency becomes worthless, not so much.

Actually it wouldn't if you had a lot of distributed generation. Fortunately CA has more of that than anywhere else in the country and plans to get to a lot more. You do make a good point that CA and the rest of the U.S. should be pushing much harder than they already are to have solar plus...

I'd maintain that if the U.S. fails to the point that U.S. dollars are no longer accepted as currency, then it's failed to the point that we're in a world of hurt such that we care about food and safety and some completely arbitrary mineral, regardless of what's stamped on it, will have no...

Again, how does your natural gas company get twice the Henry Hub spot price for natural gas when they deliver it to your house? How does the supermarket get 5X the price they paid the apple farmer for an apple? You would never expect to get the wholesale bulk spot price for something when you...

So first off, do you know what you want or not? You started the thread with but now its or what we call the wingnut rationale. What, exactly, are you going to do with your silver coins when things "really go South"? Eat them when you run out of food? Throw them at the person about to beat your...

Phase III trials are typically several years! I'm pretty sure there are few if any that have been completed in less than 6 months, let alone a month.

Basically the kind of people who buy physical silver and gold are generally wingnut idiots who are easy to take advantage of. So they are taken advantage of. That said, the price of a little chunk of something retail is always going to be higher than the wholesale market price. It costs to have...

Blue states have been producing far more than their proportional share of the nations GDP for the last 100 years, the vast majority of it if you take oil out of the equation. It takes people to make that kind of GDP and those people have a long tail. Chicago is right now paying pensions for...

Most of us blue folks would love to see a huge block of light red folks take back the Republican party from the dark red batshit crazy people running it now. That doesn't sound like a bad thing at all to me, and if it happens in Texas then all the better.

It can't really be "priced in" if you look at how the play works. Robert was just saying that the percentage is so low that if, say 100 shares out of the 10,000,000 covered by open options fail to exercise and you have 1,000 shares, your expected value would be 1 of your shares not covered...

Thanks, that's a great way to put an exact number on it that I hadn't though of!

Yes, that's exactly my question. Has anyone actually had experience with the "almost" and found someone who didn't exercise? I haven't, but I haven't tried it enough to be statistically significant. I'd be interested to hear from anyone else who has.

A minor correction, the exchange doesn't adjust the price of a stock when it goes ex. The market values something by $1.50 less that is now worth $1.50 less than it was yesterday, so the price typically drops based on market forces. Not always, however, something else can always impact the...

I'm just curious if anyone has ever actually been the beneficiary of a counterparty that didn't do the obvious and exercise an ITM option with a dividend that made exercise optimal. I can see a retail guy not getting it every once and a while so you make a few bucks off his 100 shares or...

Has anyone ever not been assigned in this circumstance for anything more than a couple hundred dollars in profit?

Actually I've read the posts from all the folks on that thread for years, and I read your posts on that thread just now. I also happen to have more than a passing familiarity with options and options pricing models. I'll just say I'll refrain from taking your advice on determining who in the...

You mean the thread where everyone is letting you know that you're embarrassing yourself? Sorry, I wasn't aware of it or I wouldn't have posted repeating what they've already told you.