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S&P is a whopping %7 off its highs. You aint seen nothing yet.

-590.. god damn. Big balls to go long right here.. markets could blow support and crash. This is all coming from spill over from fixed income. --MIKE

The risk is too great to fade the downmove. I would wait until the market stabilized a bit. Preferably u wanna see a choppy contracted range before entering long.. or some type of a reversal day. IMHO i will be looking to go long to play the bounce when the S&P gets near the 200ma.. 1070...

Your point only makes sense if u continue to use flawed logic. I am not someone that has been a bear all my life. After the Iraq war I went long and made nice coin. Markets broke out of major base and I nailed a good portiion of the move. My analysis pointed to an economy which would be...

The name of the thread is a bear case. Besides telling me that my analysis is wrong and that I am not using fundementals... u still failed to give me one piece of evidence suggesting why. The only thing that u have admited to counter my arguments is that u dont know if I will be wrong...

If what I wrote is not fundamental analysis... regardless whether I am right or wrong.. please shed light on what your interpretation of fundamental analysis is. thanks, --MIKE

I am not talking about trading or making money off the markets. You can make millions going long certain stocks or sectors in a bear market. You can even making millions going long the ES if you have amazing timing and can nail the snap back rallies in a bear market. Lets talk maro...

( Posted from another forum http://elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=32168&highlight=trend+fader+china) My answers.. 1. I dont mind if their economy cools down but there are 2 major problems. One is that the gov. issues the loans its not so much of a supply demand type market...

Explain to me why the most powerfull country in the world has the lowest fed fund rates. Compared to EZ %2, England %4.25 and Aussi %5.25. US a whopping %1. US economy is growing over %4... every single piece of eco data coming out is booming and off the charts... even the jobs are really...

Lets talk fundementals not hype or consiparicy. The greatest risk factor to the US economy is the asset bubble in real estate. We all know there is an untold amount of leverage placed on US consumer and banks in this regard. We also know that FNM and FRE are cooking their books and abusing...

You can call me whatever u want.. But based on my own research and my conviction in the coming years we will enter a serious bear market where we will see lows that none of us thought imaginable. Atleast 6k on the dow.. and sub 500 on the S&P. You can call me perma anything I dont care...

Join the club. I have been bearish on this market ever since we had the dog pile in January. I have started countless threads the past few months debating the bear case. At the end will end up in a market more similar to the 70's.. and thats the best case scenerio...

gold

Be careful.. I would wait a little on Monday to make sure we dont crash. I would not go blindly into the open especially if NQ futures are down. SPX and DOW can hit their 200ma.. thats another 100 point drop for the dow atleast.

I closed out the trade for a decent profit... All major markets closed at their lows.. spooked me out. --MIKE

Does esignal have the put to call ratio as one of their symbols? Where can I get the info?

I know what u are saying.. but thats the beauty of ETF's and playing sectors. I clearly stated 1-3 days on the trade as profit target. 3 days would probably be optimal. My trade was a technical/fundemental catalyst driven trade. I knew the jobs report would be in the 200k's all other data...

Thanks bro. I locked half profits at 37$. Stop at b/e gonna let her run more.

It will be leading the bounce off the relative low. The trade is right on the money. Up over $1 already. --MIKE

SMH continues to lead the market.. I am heavily long... Will scale out for profit soon. --MIKE