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    Backtesting Trading Strategies

    Thanks, Marine, you are way out of my league, as my old new friend MeCasa well knows. So your BT consists of multiple tools, not just a simple historical price platform? I assume some statistical analyses as well? Only thousands of ideas, haha? I try to invent and test one new idea every day. I...
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    Backtesting Trading Strategies

    Hahahahaha! Now I get it! Been there, done that, have you? An excellent precis! Gentle readers, I think I detect the bitterness of repeated failure. Suivez moi.
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    Backtesting Trading Strategies

    "back testing pain and misery"? You are an excellent crooked man. My intent here is to help folks avoid those. By following the simple Laws. Markets random? To what extent is a pachinko random? What would pinball look like if you couldn't see the bumpers? Let me stipulate my...
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    Backtesting Trading Strategies

    Marine, thanks for your comment on options. I was clueless. Care to say what fatplorm you BT on? And not to put too fine a point on it, but does loving to BT also mean that you honed successful trading strategies thereby?
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    Backtesting Trading Strategies

    Thank you, but MiCasa is not SuCasa. Cruelly reminding me in public that I am pathetic is irrelevant to the First Law's veracity. Such mendacity! I repeat: Backtesting Law Number One: If you do not backtest, you are deluding yourself that you have a robust trading concept.
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    Backtesting Trading Strategies

    Sinking Hooker, I do not even know what an option is. Was that a trick question?
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    Backtesting Trading Strategies

    I just realized the most curious thing about ET. It has no forum dedicated to backtesting. A search on that term reveals much interest in the topic. But it is scattered over a multitude of fora. I conclude from that observation that ET is not truly serious about backtesting. Otherwise the...
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    Iterative Refinement

    Oh. I see now. The cowards are over here: http://www.traderslaboratory.com/forums/f34/price-volume-relationship-6320.html Where presumably helpful criticism is not tolerated. I shall continue to give mine here. I repeat. If the alleged PV relation is true, and simple, why have they not...
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    The dumbest reason in the world to buy a stock is because it's going up

    I disagree. It's the SECOND dumbest thing. The FIRST dumbest is fighting the trend.
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    Iterative Refinement

    OK. I'll play raven raiding the mockingbird nest. That'll bring 'em back squawking. Here is the performance of the Beginner P-V code on five minute NQ. I'm posting it quick while the results are still good. It shorted at the end of bar 1 and has stayed short all day. Now that I don't need my...
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    ... like a Hershey for Dummies? Yes - but not quite

    Jack. How's the health? Should I be saving up my penurious pennies to send flowers?
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    Technical Analysis of Gold

    I did. Five posts down from your initial post. Here is the update. The conclusion of two totally different methods is still to sell, which is why I am buying. And I resent being called a comedian. I am a satirist. The other TA offerings in your thread are lowly vaudevillian by comparison, all...
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    Iterative Refinement

    Oh, my! I am suffering severe withdrawal. As must most of the rest of ET, but are too proud to admit it. EIGHT DAYS with no posts? SCT is my favorite spectator sport, and you aren't playing! When I was a kid, I used to like to poke hornets' nests with a stick. Attached is what my 14 SLOC...
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    Trading to Live

    A rather curious result from my 14 SLOC beginner SCT code for ES today.
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    Technical Analysis of Gold

    Who knew that there was a word for this, much less such a wealth of what today we would consider technical analysis on the subject? This brings a whole new perspective to the practice of trading by "gut feel."
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    dreams

    I dream and code systems while I nap or sleep.
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    Technical Analysis of Gold

    Can you please provide a good link to the entrails method?
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    Technical Analysis of Gold

    DP, I cannot comment on the weekly chart because I don't believe I have any facility in interpreting it. I use the daily for all my investment decisions. The study above volume is a stoplight helper, "red light short, green light long, orange light stand aside." It merely interprets the price...
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    I've never traded before

    Mind, my opinion is that there is more stop gunning in individual stocks and more nasty surprises intraday due to insider use of incipient news releases. With an index a lot of that is averaged out and you are left with only events that move the entire market to worry about. But I am just a...
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    Technical Analysis of Gold

    Based on the top helper (price only) and the bottom helper (price and volume), clearly a sell.
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