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I'd say time of the essence and they are out of time now. It will probably go the way of ACA and the banks will have to EAT IT. ACA Customers Allow More Time to Unwind Default Swaps (Update2) By Mark Pittman and Cecile Gutscher Jan. 21 (Bloomberg) -- ACA Capital Holdings Inc., the...

Well lets see 2.4 trillion in bonds with possible writedowns of 250 billion with unknowable dominos falling afterwards. I'd say there is a pretty good chance we see some sort of attempt at a "managed" solution from a government entity shortly.

ABK and MBIA stocks are just footnotes now. The main issue now is counterparty risk. If the uncertainty continues all hell will break loose in financial markets. Which at this time is looking like the most likely outcome.

So.. It looks like Dinallo will step in on behalf of muni bondholders and force some kinda of deal. Thereby roping off CDO's losses from the rest of ABK and MBIA's portfolios. CDO's prices have already pretty well priced in massive housing foreclosures if you look @ the ABX indices...

Monoline Insurers Can't Make It Originally published on Jan. 16 at 12:33 a.m. EST Remember what Eric Dinallo, the powerful New York State insurance commissioner, said on my TV show about regulating the monoline insurers: They must protect the bondholders, not just the holders of Wall...

New York Insurance Superintendent watching bond insurers, may intervene Fri Jan 18, 2008 4:28pm EST By Joseph A. Giannone NEW YORK, Jan 18 (Reuters) - New York Insurance Superintendent Eric Dinallo on Friday said the state is monitoring the struggles of bond insurers and would be...

you need 2 downgrades to impact bond holders as per cnbc. this is the market's worst fear come true so it will be interesting to see where we go from here.

nice call so far huh?

I think he means IB which is worth more than BSC. IBKR only represents 10% of IB.

Earnings Preview: E-Brokers Monday January 14, 2:50 pm ET Analysts Believe Schwab, Ameritrade Are Reaping Rewards From Fallout at E-Trade NEW YORK (AP) -- One company's travails may spell good fortune for competitors in the discount brokerage sector. The fourth quarter of 2007 was...

Yes looks great here. AMTD SCHW report this week and IBKR ETFC next week.

CME ES E-mini options contract average daily volume : 59k Dec 07 67k Nov 07 60k Oct 07 56k Sep 07 88k Aug 07 83k July 07 77k June 07 48k sept 06 20k sept 05 11k feb 05 Cooling off. Maybe its the tighter spreads on SPY options, and the introduction of Portfolio Margining.

Looks like I was wrong. Took this off another older thread fyi: "Actually I think the story goes that when Block went bankrupt 3 companies bought the rights to the software. Blackwood, Andover, and I don't remember the name of the third one all got the old Block software they had been...

I suspect this call might be his worst call since 1998 oct when he said market was about to tank.:cool: oh wait I forgot about the tech bubble b2b call. Well maybe its his 3rd worst call.:D

US's triple-A credit rating 'under threat' By Francesco Guerrera, Aline van Duyn and Daniel Pimlott,in New York Published: January 11 2008 02:00 | Last updated: January 11 2008 02:00 The US is at risk of losing its top-notch triple-A credit rating within a decade unless it takes radical...

still more lows 26 weeks and counting....

Bernanke Says Further `Policy Easing May Well Be Necessary' By Craig Torres and Scott Lanman Jan. 10 (Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said ``additional policy easing may well be necessary'' to offset ``downside risks'' to growth. ``In light of the recent...

prelude to death? cool to watch tho :cool: reminds me of that base jumper who went off bridge but chute didnt open..splat!....no thanks lol

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aX7rP826NCTc&refer=home Bush to Meet Advisers as Stimulus Package Considered (Update1) By Roger Runningen and Holly Rosenkrantz Jan. 3 (Bloomberg) -- President George W. Bush will meet with Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal...

are you an individual trader? or money manager? what is your annualized return over 25 years? what markets have you traded? what is your strategy? does it differ from market to market? who is your broker? what are your views on the psychology of trading and the relative importance it plays in...