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  1. M

    Newbie Option Question

    No, it will just expire worthless. However, even if the option is OTM at the close on Friday you can still get assigned on it so if you do have a chance to buy it back for a nickel or even a dime then it would be a prudent thing to do.
  2. M

    Paulson to Tap (35 yr old) Adviser to Run Rescue Program..We are screwed

    A former GS banker!? Wow, what a coincidence!:eek:
  3. M

    Carry Trade Hedging

    As others have mentioned, it doesn't work this way. You can't have your cake and eat it too.
  4. M

    naked call assignment

    Jail time.:D
  5. M

    Cumulative Loss Formula

    Are you talking about the formula I posted?
  6. M

    Cumulative Loss Formula

    Why are the results illogical? It exactly demonstrates the power of compounding, well, in this case in reverse. As you lose your absolute bet size decreases since you are always risking 1% of your current capital. In other words, you are losing a progressively lower amount. Thus it takes more...
  7. M

    Cumulative Loss Formula

    It's a simple compounding formula: FV=PV*(1+r)^n n is you number of trades. r is your return on each trade, which will be negative since it's a loss (e.g. -0.01 if you are risking 1% per trade) PV is your starting capital and FV is your ending capital, which you can set to a 100 and...
  8. M

    Fixed Odd betting

    It's a legal thing, or rather it is illegal in the US.
  9. M

    Options question....

    In two words...volatility crush
  10. M

    Sell SPY puts

    Painting the tape
  11. M

    Modelling order execution for futures exchanges

    Each trade has a buyer and a seller otherwise there would be no trade.
  12. M

    Are naked puts really this safe????

    Why not consider SPY options? The spreads are as tight as in QQQQ and it is essentially the same underlying as ES.
  13. M

    how 2 not get caught buying tops and selling bottoms

    you decided that you made enough money and it is time to lose some. So you :D :D :D
  14. M

    Liquidity provider career?

    This is how they make money, so why would they be willing to share it with you?
  15. M

    Beginner Question - American vs. European Options

    Just to add, there's no way of telling whether the option is American or European by looking at the chains or at the ticker. The only way to know is to look up contract specifications on the exchange's website.
  16. M

    Skew/Smile Scanner or Ranker

    I'm not sure, you may wanna try the vol diff and searching for vertical spreads, for example. Since the market is closed now the scanner doesn't work so I can't say for sure, but I think it's worth a try.
  17. M

    Skew/Smile Scanner or Ranker

    On the "stkhacker" tab you can scan for "vol diff" or you can specify the front and back vol separately. You can also do the same on "sprdhacker".
  18. M

    wm options, when can i get my money?

    What are you talking about? The guy had a LONG put! By the way, I don't know the answer, newguy.
  19. M

    Could volatility be predicted ?

    Volatility can be predicted in a sense that it is mean-reverting, however, it's hard to determine when exactly it will revert to the mean. I also have a model, but I'm not selling it to you! :)
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