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  1. M

    How are options actually priced?

    I'm not supposed to say this as I could get into a lot of trouble, but this fairies pricing options business is total B.S. In real life options are priced by the little green men (some are grey and apparently they are the ones who make the final pricing adjustments). Once a month, right around...
  2. M

    (Ask) 20-30% Profit

    What makes you think that someone would be willing to share it with you!? On a different note, I suggest you educate yourself a bit and come back with a bit more realistic expectations.
  3. M

    Exchange Trading vs OTC - is it small fish vs large traders?

    It's no brainer, the OTC market is where the big money is.
  4. M

    how do you quantify your performance

    No, you multiply daily to get annualized. Volatility increases with the square root of time.
  5. M

    Iron Condor Money Management

    One thing you have to consider is that when you introduce adjustments to a backtested strategy, which may have held the ICs to expiry, you change the whole probability profile, so to speak, so your win/loss ratio changes. That is, you adjust trades that would have otherwise moved back in your...
  6. M

    Iron Condor Money Management

    Another way of managing them is to not overleverage your account. So rather taking a big position and then sweating everytime the underlying threatens your short strike, you size your positions so that you can take a max loss on any given IC and still be within your risk parameters. The logic...
  7. M

    Vertical spread moves like turtle until near expiration?

    Yes, it is normal.
  8. M

    Selling Premiums On Stocks

    I know that the "black swan" event can happen both ways, but it is more likely to be a market crash than a market rush, don't you agree!? I think there are more potential "black swan" factors for individual stocks than there are for indices.
  9. M

    Selling Premiums On Stocks

    Indices don't gap, well they do but only small gaps, and your "black swan" risk is only to the downside, while stocks gap relatively frequently up and down so it is easier to manage risk with indices rather than with stocks.
  10. M

    What software do you guys use to analyze options?

    If you use TOS then it should have all you need. It has all the feautres you need, well almost, it's just a matter of learning how to use the platform.
  11. M

    Radioactive Trading

    You can substitute all you want it doesn't make any difference at all. Married put=long call! Unless you hold the stock for the long term or some other purpose, trading a married put is inferior to a simple call, assuming no arbitrage of course. It's double the commissions, double the slippage...
  12. M

    OptionVue vs ToS

    Does have just the closing prices or does it have intraday bid-ask quotes as well? and if it does, how far back does it go?
  13. M

    Futures options platform similar to ToS?

    I'm waiting for TOS to add those.:)
  14. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    Would that be short or long straddles?
  15. M

    Position Sizing

    No worries! I had to make it up for being harsh.:)
  16. M

    Position Sizing

    On the "trade" tab there's a small button in the top right-hand corner (the one with the printer icon), click that. It'll bring up a mneu, choose "Export to Excel" then open an Excel spreadsheet and click "paste" or "Ctrl+V". Once you do that the entire "trade" page with all options and the info...
  17. M

    Position Sizing

    Well, you mentioned TOS, and I assume you meant Thinkorswim. If you did then TOS has a DDE link to excel so you can have real time quotes in Excel, combine that with Hoadley's pricing functions for excel and you got what you want. edit: You can probaly get by without Hoadley's tools all...
  18. M

    SPX Credit Spread Trader

    That's true, yet the correlation isn't perfect so you still benefit from diversification. I've been backtesting and "live-testing" just that, trading ICs on SPX, NDX and RUT. A good example is Oct expiration. I lost money on SPX, but made full profit on NDX and RUT, which offset the loss on...
  19. M

    Position Sizing

    You can calculate how much an option would be worth if the stock hits your stop loss. Then you divide the amount you're willing to risk by how much you would lose per option. I don't think any software actually automates this, but you could build one in excel using Hoadley's tools, for example.
  20. M

    Position Sizing

    If you have the amount you want to risk, your stop on the underlying and your profit target then it is just a matter of plugging in those values into an option pricing model and finding out your risk and reward at those exit points. Repeat the process for various options and choose the best...
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