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  1. aphexcoil

    "mathematically impossible"

    Traden4Alpha, I'm not suggesting one abandons esoteric mathematical principles. Well, actually I guess I am -- but here is how I see the difference. Most everyone has a good grasp of the power of the human-mind knows that it makes very complex calculations all the time. If you're running...
  2. aphexcoil

    Bright Trading

    Why does Don get such a bad rap on here? I've seen a lot of his posts and he seems to take a lot of time out to help people on Elite. Surely he isn't getting paid to do so. Is it the fact that he just happens to be successful at what he does -- so that means he is fodder for getting...
  3. aphexcoil

    Missing the big picture

    Generally, you can go long or short at any time and, at some time, you will be in-the-money. Now as for the guys who were buying up ES contracts in March and never sold -- well, they'll be waiting awhile. But generally, I notice people have too tight of stops when trading certain markets...
  4. aphexcoil

    Do all women nag?

    No matter how much more money I've made as I've gotten older, a woman's tastes never seem to stop. Perhaps as they get older they calm down and don't feel the impulse to shop as much ... But no matter what, if you have the money, suddenly you aren't buying them Ralph Lauren Purses anymore...
  5. aphexcoil

    Something very simplistic

    Quah, Your journal is getting close to 100 pages so I want to be the first to tell you that it has probably been one of the best 100 pages worth of ET material I have seen yet. Hopefully your system continues to "rock" like it has been doing. Keep up the great work.
  6. aphexcoil

    VIX Consistently above 40 during September

    Doji, Would you feel better if I predicted a great melt-down on Monday?
  7. aphexcoil

    VIX Consistently above 40 during September

    Winston, $VIX Information: http://www.esignal.com/exchange/v17_11/trading_education.asp
  8. aphexcoil

    VIX Consistently above 40 during September

    I haven't seen the effects of a FED rate-cut on the ES movements yet. What kind of point movement occurs on an unexpected FED action such as a rate-cut? I'm assuming I wouldn't want to be on the wrong side of the fence when it occured, either.
  9. aphexcoil

    "mathematically impossible"

    Traden4Alpha, That's a great post. Mathematics dominates every aspect of our lives in far deeper ways than we could imagine. I remember one of my favorite mathematical puzzles was that of the "traveling salesman." Assuming a salesman had to visit 50 cities, what would be the most...
  10. aphexcoil

    what are the odds in vegas?

    Casinos will now be putting in a new game called "The Random Moving Line." The way it works is that there is a line that randomly ticks up or down each time. People watch the line and can enter a bet at any time. Each tick the line goes against them, they lose money and each tick that it...
  11. aphexcoil

    odds and probability

    Yes, but how many drawdowns at that rate could I take with a 5k account? Not too many. With a lower account value, everything else (percentage wise) is much higher. This includes commissions, datafeeds, etc. I might be spending 5% of my account size per month in datafeeds alone when someone...
  12. aphexcoil

    odds and probability

    Some of us who are just starting out again don't have the luxury of having a 500k account to play with. Then, after the PDT rule, some of us are forced to take perhaps 5k and trade it through an instrument like ES or NQ because of the SEC's dire concern for our financial welfare. So, if I...
  13. aphexcoil

    odds and probability

    That may be like asking why everyone isn't making a killing by being an actress, singer, CEO, etc. The simple fact is that a lot of people simply can't do it. The biggest reason is most likely due to emotional / psychological ones and less so because of a poor system. If everyone was...
  14. aphexcoil

    need broker which allows overnight stop orders

    Just get some software that will monitor your position and put in a market order if your stop is breached.
  15. aphexcoil

    VIX Consistently above 40 during September

    The volatility index has been running high during the month of September. On July 24'th, 2002, the VIX hit a high of around 56-57. It would appear it is again on the rise. Doesn't VIX normally max out when a reversal of trend is in the future? Also, the last time VIX was this high...
  16. aphexcoil

    odds and probability

    I have competition!
  17. aphexcoil

    A question about writing a journal

    WDGann, Thanks! You don't have to do anything real-time. Starting a journal might actually force you to pay more attention to what you do during the trading day (maybe you already do this). The best thing about the journal is that others will be able to lend advice (Although Gann is dead)...
  18. aphexcoil

    A question about writing a journal

    WDGann, You'll probably be starting one right along with me. I'm actually getting a little nervous because I got "all this ET pressure riding down on me." :cool: ET's Whipping Child Ps: Trades would be great. Chart is extra. If we have the trades, we can look at the chart. Some...
  19. aphexcoil

    Estx50

    alain, Who do you trade through? Btw, your footer is very colorful. :)
  20. aphexcoil

    Wheat and Chaff in the Telecom/Fiber Sectors

    I read somewhere that there is so much dark-fiber laying around, that anything related to Fiber-Optics will have an extremely tough time surviving. Worldcom started all this BS when Sidgmore was touting how internet traffic was doubling every 100 days. The government picked up on this and...
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