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You might have mixed two things. Positive or negative correlation is still somewhat equal in terms of their prediction values. No correlation (or “0” correlation) suggests that there are no dependencies of any sort. That is my conclusion so far. Unless, of course, staying true to your self...

So far I haven't been able to establish any strong correlation between predictions and the actual market behavior. On its own it is a very pleasing result and a huge reassurance of what I do. So far I am pleased with my observations. Sometimes negative outcome is more important than the...

The book does not have anything to do with trading at all! Theoretical conclusions of that book, however, have immensely powerful applications in trading! It takes a little bit of work and imagination to make parallels, but it pays off! :cool:

Every person is a universe! It is easy to dismiss something just because we do not understand it. But by doing that sometimes we deprive ourselves of a chance to see something tangible. This tangible could be in hands of a very insecure, lonely and sometimes very ill person. It does not make...

Thank you

Probably. But it does not make the subject less interesting, doesn't it? :)

Think about it. By using more correlated strategies your risk is going down so is your return. It keeps the risk/return ratio stable.

When I was doing my thesis on behavioral patterns I met a guy (a patient of a clinic I was working in) who could accurately diagnose a disease without having a medical degree. He did it consistently for 3 years. I was studying this phenomenon.

What numbers do you use? Do you rely more on your intuition or you run some sort of analytical formula?

I was very busy this morning, so I missed this thread. Could you please explain what prompted you to conclude that today will be a negative day? It is very interesting to see how the intuition works for some people. In case somebody is wondering, no, there is no hidden agenda in my question. As...

In his work "introduction to cybernetics" Ashby has discovered that risk/return does not depend on how much strategies are correlated.

First of all I don't want to spoil your excitement, but there is something you should be aware of. Your concept is extremely naive and lacks an understanding of the superimposition phenomenon. It is a mind trap that many fall into. The assumption, of course, is hat the equity curve could be...

Is 2 pm not the afternoon enough for you? I think you read things literally! I thought it was an excellent general direction call. I made money with it!

An interesting observation! I should look into it! Thank you!

Nice one! You have patience of an elephant! I enjoyed it!

I knew you are a good man! God bless your heart!

Thank you, I need all the luck I can get! BTW, good intraday call, you missed the exit by 0.5 pints and you missed your stop by 0.5 points. Very interesting.

I beg you to reconsider your crusade. Look, exposing the garbage is the same thing as producing the garbage. It only strokes your ego. Please be smarter than that. Being above all of that is the wonderful place to be. Being a Don Kihot is only good for Don Kihot's ego. Forgiveness and taking...

You have a good heart! Good luck to you!

I see your point, of course. But here is mine. Sometimes I find golden nuggets going through dirt, mud and garbage. As the matter of fact, it is where you normally find them. It is highly unusual to find something tangible that is in everybody's sight. Usually gems are hidden. Many times gem...