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Only Idiots Are Buying Only the Idiots calling other idiots "IDIOTS" :D

Hey Thunder: As I can see you are still visiting this sand box where kids are playing with their imaginary friends. Funny, isn't it?

Dump the bitch, go short! :D

Sorry, guys. I am back to the hospital. My health is not letting me to be as active as I wanted. You are all wonderful curious people. If I made you think and try different things I am very happy and somewhat have achieved the purpose. I will clarify a few things when I am back from the...

Please accept my apologies for teasing you. I hope that on the end it will be well worth for you. I just don't want to give you my results. Instead I would like you to come up with your own discovery. It is very unusual and not very obvious way of looking at the price moves. I found it very...

Hint #2: You are absolutely right considering the infinite number of possible further outcomes. Does the situation change if you had a limited amount of possible events? Consider a coin tossing game with the limited amount of tosses or the door opening game with the limited number of doors...

I am 100% sure you will. And once you get it you will never look at the markets the same way. I promise.

Would you be surprised to learn that it is not? :D P.S. My goal is education and sharpening the minds. Keep on thinking, you might discover the answer. I won't give it to you unless I see the light.

A hint: Number 2 and 3 result in "0" loss/gain. So you can reduce the problem to this 3 outcomes: gain, loss, break even with 33% probability each. Similar to the "boy/girl problem" in the "twins" paradox http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boy_or_Girl

Are you sure??? :D Did you try the Bayes formula? Where do you think is the trick? Can you capitalize on it?

It is extremely refreshing that you are familiar with the Bertrand's box type of paradoxes. But I still insist that you think a bit more about it. Please do not dismiss the premise that easily. It is very rewarding to carefully analyze"well-known" facts again. Wish you well in your new "gig".

So, what do you think the probability is? :D :cool:

Think of the Market as a moderator (the host of the show). You have, for example the following combination of the events: 1. A stock might gain $1 a share and then another $1 a share 2. A stock might gain $1 a share and then lose $1 a share 3. A stock might lose $1 a share and then...

One of the reasons that makes Parrodo's paradox so attractive is the Monty Hall problem. "The Monty Hall problem is a probability puzzle loosely based on the American television game show Let's Make a Deal. The name comes from the show's host, Monty Hall. The problem is also called the Monty...

I was not talking about you at all! You are, actually, one of very few people here who I respect. :)

It's not eSignal who failed it's you who failed to understand that they cannot keep up the update rate due to their inherent data distribution bottle neck. It is normal to them to have a lag in the fast markets.

The more you learn about it the better it becomes. Don't listen those "know-it-all" guys here. I guarantee that if you investigate it thoroughly you will find it more than rewarding. I stopped answering to stupid remarks long time ago. I am on the side lines these days. Just enjoying the...

So far it cost us over 7M for four locations. Unfortunately, we do not do tours anymore. We are extremely private these days :cool: MAESTRO

It is not what I am doing. It was an illustration of the Parrondo's paradox applied to the markets. I think with a little bit more careful analysis you might find it deeper than you think by just glancing at the surface. I would never write about it if I did not find it potentially fruitful. As...

Ok. Let me give you an example. Mind you that this is a very sketchy, rough example. Suppose you have a channel with, let us say, 1252 price level as its upper level and with 1248 lower level. Imagine a pure mechanical system where if the price is below 1248 you would go short and if it is...