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    POLL - Futures: How do you determine the trend?

    I agree with your comment Vienna: Of course my own experience is quite limited. It will be 12 years this Christmas, and in the big scheme of things that is nothing. I like your sailboat analogy as well. I have an old Mariner (50 feet of real wood and teak rails, no "poptops" for me) and...
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    The Million $$$ Quest...

    You need to stop trading and do a lot more "thinking" about your situation. just reading your posts makes me wince. Save up your money. Take a while to evaluate and choose a method that fits you better than the one you are using. Most importantly, learn discipline. Based on what I...
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    Anyone used Aqtant?

    I find it to be a complete piece of crap. I don't know one professional who likes it. Support sucks, the program is buggy and slow, and it is expensive to boot. Steve
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    Help please!

    Yes I agree. Come back when you get them in order
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    Help please!

    I am quite serious
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    the basic flaws in TA

    OK, I have to do my homework for tomorrow, so I will just smack this one around first; TA "exposes" traders to their strengths and weaknesses. Brings them both right up into your face, the same way that an empty canvass does with an artist. TA is the canvass. All the tools are there. All the...
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    POLL - Futures: How do you determine the trend?

    I think your question is a good one.
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    Anyone used Aqtant?

    Hello: We have a custom here with regard to spam. Its sort of like winning a lottery. What we do is we find out where you live and then send a couple of "associates" over to your home. They have a short "conversation" with you, and then if it is appropriate, they take you for an even shorter...
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    How much out of sample testing is enough?

    Hello: Alan's comments are not really helpful to traders. I guess I would hope he wasn't serious. Depending on the market you trade, it is important to have an edge. That edge can be either a historical tendency, or a true statistical edge based on some element of human behavior. Either way...
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    POLL - Futures: How do you determine the trend?

    Excuse me It is the ability to "recognize" that separates us as traders. Those who recognize WHEN price is about to move in a direction and ACT will make money. Those who cannot recognize as quickly, or as accurately, will lose money. HOW one "recognizes" is part of the art and...
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    Predicting randomness

    I'd like to know where the "mutual" part comes in. I notice (and I am sure others did) that you stopped posting for quite a while there. Presumably you were checking out the concept I was talking about. Thats good. I offered it in the spririt of helping other traders. Apparently I missed the...
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    POLL - Futures: How do you determine the trend?

    Mr. Dow (Charlie) My comments were not directed toward you. They were aimed at the person writing the post directly above mine. The "name calling" (guilty as charged) and whatever else you object to were not aimed at you either. I don't have an opinion as to anything you have said...
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    POLL - Futures: How do you determine the trend?

    I think you are correct. I believe that one can learn to read a market with varying degrees of accuracy. I am pretty sure that all one needs to do this is to watch price movement on a regular basis, and learn to analyze movement using excel and simple parametric statistics. I say this...
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    POLL - Futures: How do you determine the trend?

    Hello: Although I have not read the previous posts, I have to say something about this most recent waste of my time. The idea that one needs to use quantum mechanics in order to obtain success in today's stock market is absurd. I have both undergraduate and graduate degrees in Physics, and...
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    Predicting randomness

    yes
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    Predicting randomness

    Yep, thats one of them. From my point of view, to make money, one has to get way past this "debate" and move on to the next stage. I learned so much from importing intraday data into excel and changing it from absolute price into price jumps. Once I started to do that, I noticed patterns...
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    Spike Trading

    Hey Pat: Its a long holiday weekend, and as I have mentioned in another thread, I am a "type A" person who cannot wait for Monday. I guess I let my imagination get away from me. Hope you've had a good year. Steve
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    Predicting randomness

    I doubt that you find me funny. I don't contest the work, only the significance you give it. Each market has its character. I specialize in the S&P. If you look at the charts on one time period, say 5 minute candles, you see a intraday market that cycles back and forth between price points...
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    Do stocks really go up over the long run?

    Take a look at the inflation adjusted charts for that time period. You will have the information you need to make an informed comment. Good luck Steve Edit: There are many sources, but you may simply google for "inflation adjusted stock charts" and eventually find a chart or two.
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    Toby Cabrel book is it worth it?

    Thanks Ozzy: I was unsure that my comments were accurate as I have only the one copy, and few friends who have the text. Hope you are doing well. Steve
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