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Winrates based on less than 500 trades are essentially meaningless. How many trades is your 90% based on?

This is precisely what I've been saying about MetaTrader software. The traders get the software "for free" and the brokers pay for it. But the software doesn't work until the trader connects to his broker. So all the broker has to do is wait for a trader with a good track record to come...

Didn't Richard Dennis prove three decades ago when he won his bet with Wm Eckhardt that ordinary people (aka non-traders) could trade successfully by following a logical and proven methodology? Attitude, smattitude, if you have a winning system it could theoretically be taught to a monkey and...

Not. Even with weather satellites, the weather can't be accurately forecast more than a week out. There are no price "satellites". Financial forecasting is a mug's game. If you can accurately assess what price doing right now, you have a leg up on most of your competition and that is your edge.

I don't believe it's a coincidence that look-alike actresses Elizabeth Henstridge and Danielle Panabaker were born only a week apart. And now they're both starring in comic-book-based TV shows! Has anybody ever seen them together in the same place at the same time?

The fakumentaries the Discovery Channel has started airing during the recent Shark Weeks are a bit much. Megalodon. "Submarine." Gimme a break.

I don't need a crystal ball to find trends. I can find them in the present and once found, I can ride them to profits. Just like you can find exchange differences in the present ... well, not any more thanks to HFTs. Seems to me the biggest difference is that arbitrage is simple only in...

So arbitrage and trend trading are tied for the simplest metastrategy. One taking advantage of time, the other taking advantage of location.

So it sounds like they are equally complex, with the difference being either location or time. But as you said, HFTs have killed the simplest form of arbitrage for retail traders. "As a trading strategy, statistical arbitrage is a heavily quantitative and computational approach to equity...

You've just described trend trading using two exchanges rather than one. That's more complicated.

The picture so far ... The simplest strategy is Buy the n-day high, Short the n-day low. The simplest metastrategy is Trade With The Trend. Arbitrage is certainly an important metastrategy but I contend that despite being a single word, it is considerably more complicated a concept than...

Donchian? Way back when I had a desktop. All my backtests went when my hardrive got fried. I've been looking for published backtests to put in my other recent thread in this forum. Hard to believe there's nothing out there on public-domain strategies but I haven't had a lot of success so far.

A wise guy, eh? :D OK, Donchian channel breakouts are a form of trend trading. "Trade with the trend" is only four words, which beats your seven. :p

I don't consider leaving things up to pure random chance to be a plan aka a strategy. But maybe that's just me.

And how do I do that? Details matter. "Buy the 21-day high, short the 21-day low" is a detailed plan. Brokers get it. "Trade with the trend" or "trade imbalances" ... not so much.

So you can describe Wyckoff's method in eight words or less? Please do.

No.

The four-week rule, an early popular form of DCB, dates back at least to the Sixties. I can't find a definitive date when Richard Donchian first published his strategy(s) but he started trading in the Forties.

Bad setup on my part. Or maybe I just wanted to see how "elite" traders actually thought about basic stuff. I mean if we can't objectively determine what the simplest strategy is ... Or maybe I'm just wrong. Entirely possible there's something simpler that hasn't occurred to me. I'd like to...

Why Donchian channel breakouts are the simplest strategy: The strategy I described in the first post is actually an advanced version of DCB. My bad. Here is the basic Donchian channel breakout strategy : Buy the n-day high, short the n-day low. Eight words. That's it. Can you describe MA...