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  1. kut2k2

    Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

    You were, and you missed it! :D :D :D Your first bet: $0 Toss # 1: heads ; Total win: $ 0 ; Your next bet: $0 Toss # 2: heads ; Total win: $ 0 ; Your next bet: $0 Toss # 3: heads ; Total win: $ 0 ; Your next bet: $2 on heads Toss # 4: heads ; Total win: $ 2 ; Your next bet: $3 on heads...
  2. kut2k2

    Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

    "Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?" Why not? Since you can't even define a trend, what makes you think it can't be generated by both random and non-random processes? The fact is, they are: generated randomly and nonrandomly. This would be obvious if you gave any serious...
  3. kut2k2

    Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

    The Anglican Church had/has theologians as well. And if Disraeli is the earliest you could find, you didn't look very hard.
  4. kut2k2

    Protif taking strategy

    Trend following strategies tend to have more losers than winners. There's nothing wrong with that as long as your average winning trade is bigger than your average losing trade. So profit-taking aka "scaling out" is risky for trend followers because it reduces your average win.
  5. kut2k2

    Dick Morris

    "Official" has nothing to do with intelligence or education. Hillary graduated from the same law school as Bill, in the same class in fact. She's been with him throughout his entire political career. As governor of Arkansas, he worked at home, where she was as well. As president of the...
  6. kut2k2

    Money management, is this all you need?

    Thanks, gbos. This post and the example you gave here emphasize the importance of using the exact formula to determine the Kelly fraction. The approximation (p*W - (1-p)*L)/(W*L) grossly overestimates the true value in this case. Ironically the wrong but widely posted approximation p -...
  7. kut2k2

    Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

    The pinheads comment was a critique aimed at theologians by people who saw them as bullshitters at best. This was back in the days when the Church had as much or more power than the government, and theologians were seen by many the way corrupt Congressmen are seen today: just perpetuating the...
  8. kut2k2

    A guide to computerized Trade Management

    :( Sorry, I was asking what choices of position sizing your program offers.
  9. kut2k2

    A guide to computerized Trade Management

    Position sizing options?
  10. kut2k2

    Mexican Military Incursions Over Southern Border to Assist Drug Runners: MSNBC

    Looks like the Reagan&Bush-Bush plan to delete civics classes from US high school curricula has worked out perfectly. You can tell from many of the completely ignorant comments in this forum alone that some citizens have no clue as to how their government should be working, an ignorance which...
  11. kut2k2

    Is this profitable strategy worth trading

    Kelly ratio ~= E(return)/E(return²) == E(return)/(Var(return) + E(return)²) Kelly ratio ~= 0.001/(0.0294² + 0.001²) = 1.15558843 Good to go! :D
  12. kut2k2

    why strategy fails?

    True, but anything better than the (A)ZLMA is likely to cost some dough. :p
  13. kut2k2

    Risk Management Rules

    Name one. Hell, name two while you're at it. Didn't you get the point of this thread was to discuss, not to just dismiss?
  14. kut2k2

    Risk Management Rules

    The bottom line on Position sizing. And I think "stops" is something better discussed in Strategy Trading than in this forum. But I'm open to persuasion.
  15. kut2k2

    Are Hedge fund strategies really that complex?

    OMG :eek: Dude, Bruce Lee was the real thing. His One Inch Punch was legendary among the martial artists of his day. Granted, the movies were stupid, as were all the other Hong Kong kungfu movies of that time, but there was nothing fake about Bruce Lee's real-life martial art skills.
  16. kut2k2

    why strategy fails?

    try zero-lag moving average zero-lag data smoothers
  17. kut2k2

    Coming apart at the seams

    Name one. Based on what evidence? Tell us the democrat(s) who support public restroom sex or stop putting out this blatant strawman as if it was a fact. And we KNOW Republicans are OK with their adulterous whoremongers keeping their Senate seats. Just make sure it isn't a male whore instead of...
  18. kut2k2

    What Should Sen. Larry Craig Have Done?

    Pure projection, reichtard.
  19. kut2k2

    Coming apart at the seams

    Why not demand they denounce robbery, murder and littering as well? This is such strawman nonsense, I'm surprised you can post it with sincerity. Craig is the GOP's problem. The Democrats are following the old advice: don't interrupt your opponents when they're hanging themselves.
  20. kut2k2

    Coming apart at the seams

    Lashing out at McConnell By Betsy Rothstein and Elana Schor September 07, 2007 Rep. Mike Simpson (R) condemned Senate GOP leaders on Thursday for their treatment of fellow Idahoan Sen. Larry Craig (R), accusing them of hypocrisy. (Does this make Simpson a "liberal" in Coulter-ese...
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