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nitro is correct. good breakdown... here is... the natives voted against unfettered immigration. Trump may have created a new party. (I hope so.) I heard it said it was a new party with and old name. he united the tax payers against the cronies... the native americans... (natives being...

this is part of the issue.... statists pretending they care about people. We have a whole bunch of Americans voting anti establishment - anti statist - and a return for caring about the little guy. And you wish to reframe this as propaganda. This is what orwell warned us of. you take ideas...

that would be so sweet.

new york times has trump winning at 92%.. at 7:44 pm pacific.

FORECAST BOT 10:25 PM Trump wins Ohio. Our model now gives him a 55 percent chance of winning the election. NATE SILVER 10:31 PM Repeating myself a bit, but Clinton is still the favorite to win the popular vote, according to the Upshot’s model, despite now having become a fairly clear...

I told you a few of them as they came out. It was the polls which revealed their templates and they were about d plus 4 give or take 1 maybe 2. I have no desire to go back and see which ones used good templates the whole time. By the way... both cnn and fox seem to be hinting the latino...

alex jones reports that the Nov 7th Reuters poll had trump up by 6.. but then it was pulled. http://www.infowars.com/report-reuters-pulls-polls-showing-huge-trump-surge/ I also note these headlines look really bad for hillary... (REUTERS) Americans who had cast their votes for the next...

is the gas you sell for a living a greenhouse gas? is it 2000 times or more, more powerful than co2> are you therefore an econ terrorist destroying the earth for money? you think trees are broken and don't work as proxies any more?

this post was for the 2012 election. the template I suggested for this election was about the 2012 template. D plus 4 give or take a little.

no... those were todays polls. you are being fricken obtuse on purpose. I told you this whole thread that the proper template is about the 2012 turnout which was Dem plus 4. so a poll which revealed its template to be about dem plus 4 was is a good poll. I also predicted the herding and it...

back early in the 2012 thread / race when the polls were super skewed I am sure I said things like that. I was predicting unskewing then and I was correct then... as I was correct this year. not sure what more you could expect from an amateur. I we got close to election and I learned about...

absolutely a possibility. I did pose my option as a question.

you want to see unskewing... look at the history of change October 30 17 of 19 moves in trumps direction. crooked polls unskewing or if you wish to be nice... herding. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html RCP NATIONAL AVG. 11/6...

this is the electoral college map. I was quite surprised to see hillary went from a win to undecided in the last week or so. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html all of sudden the polls were inconclusive can you say unskewing like...

The OnionVerified account‏@TheOnion Nate Silver Gunned Down Attempting To Cross Mexican Border With All 2016 Polling Data http://trib.al/wbv2jGW

“Undecideds are MUCH higher than normal,” Silver said in a Tuesday morning tweet. “So risk of a polling error — in either direction — is higher than usual.” is nate hedging? I think he senses there is a chance the turnout models were incorrect...

you don't seem to place any importance on logical methodology. nor do you seem to understand that crooked polls are like broken clocks. They can get a binary result correct even if they have terrible methodology. polls are not supposed to be forecasting what will happen on nov 8th... they say...

they were. nate looks at the last 2 to three weeks of polls. That stops your team of herders like abc from taking the title by waiting until the last few polls to put out legit polls.

Nov 8th. Today's 4 way polls at RCP - That IBD poll.... Nate's most accurate poll of 2012. General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein IBD/TIPP Tracking Clinton 43, Trump 45, Johnson 8, Stein 2 Trump +2 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton LA Times/USC Tracking Clinton 44...

many of us here wondered who or what forced his hand. not many people would be silly enough to call the guy a great leader a few months after he sold out to hillary the patron sinner of traitors for cash. its funny because the Uranium she sold to Russia for 140 million or so to her...