Search results

That's correct, Scaling out is 2 different systems.We agree there :) I don't know why you can't use a little creativity and take the next logical step.You are so dam close..

Trader A goes long on a cross of the 50 day MA and sells at a 20 percent profit target. Trader B goes long on a cross of the 50 day MA and sells on a downside cross of the 50 day MA. Traders are equally profitable With much different r/r profiles. Are you stating that the combination of...

Apologies,disregard the above..I dont trade the ES,so my testing isnt relevant

I find crossing above 80

Not sure I agree on this one. why not trade the 90/115 1x2 assuming the trade is sufficiently delta long vs a bear ratio spread? Unless you put the bear ratio on for a big credit,how much will you make if you are dead right? Personally, I see no edge in trading options directionally as opposed...

Oneil sets no bounds on P/E multiples and favors growth and relative strength .Pure Graham and Dodd is very formulaic with boundaries set by book value and P/E as well as NCAV. One buys high,one buys low.one believes strength begets strength the other believes in the irrationally of man and...

As we have shifted from fundamental factors to technicals, I think it's also pertinent to decide which fundamental camp you reside in,and how technicals may enhance ones trading. There is a world of a difference in taking a Graham and Dodd approach vs Oneil, and if you are going to look at...

Still trying to figure out how a discussion regarding What moves stocks in the Long term turns into a debate on the validity of charts in the short term.

Agreed.Intelligent Investor is a must read,as is the works of Buffet,Lynch and Oneil. The OP is being taken down a path which has no relation to his original question. OP's question is really fundamental in nature.

Don't you think it's either the expectation of growth or the perception of value?

Yes indeed..perception,which equals expectations ,is a very strong catalyst(positive earning suprise ),but ultimately EPS has the final say. P.s. it appears that most are looking at growth stocks,so I intentionally didn't bring up asset plays,turnarounds,value investing. If you want an...

Talk about "margin of safety".I must have missed the chaper in Intelligent Investor on Coverts and exchange of debt for equity at a 50 percent discount. Doesn't there have to be full dislosure even in a private placement? Bare minimum one should know the effects of the dilution on the common.

Don't like the strategy. . I am assuming you are trading an option position with a delta of 1. Why trade the otm as opposed to itm. Where is historical vol,above or below 30. Do you trade with a specific risk reward ratio,or only exit on sell signsls. What's the slippage on the options...

he's not wrong that one should have a pretty good idea of where an option should trade near term plus/minus Vega change.

He's talking about the underLining:)

Lol...nice curveball I see what you are doing:)

Ratio spreads is a very loose term.What ratio and why? By your beliefs,why not trade ratio spreads with a delta? It appears you have discovered multiple holy grails.

Would you elaborate on this mystical post?

Common sense validated by statistical analysis makes sense.Anything else is a belief,and most likely has a 50 percent chance of being corrrect. If trailing stops/breakeven stops don't work for YOUR style of trading, so be it,but that is as far as it goes unless you can prove otherwise. You...

For the life of me,I can not fathom why these threads exist with strong opinions and not a single shred of any credible statistical analysis validating ones beliefs.