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  1. W

    trend following delusion shattered

    oh., btw your point vis a vis cause/effect with "oscillations" *is* correct. the op was wrong. gotta give props where due ! :)
  2. W

    trend following delusion shattered

    "ps. in addition, its not a zero sum game. trading is a negative sum game, its important that this is understood by people new to the field" if you want to get technical, OPTIONS, FUTURES, and FOREX are a negative sum game (zero sum only if you eliminate trading costs). however, STOCK...
  3. W

    this has got to be a blow off top

    "Yeah I agree that this manipulated "rally" is bullshit." more loser trader mentality. this thread is full of these sorts of people translation: the people that either missed this move or tried to short it on the way up finally have to admit "i was wrong", but can't do that (even though...
  4. W

    Do you use Martingale position sizing?

    romik, it may be hilarious, but it is exactly true and succinct that's pretty much it commodities are totally different from stocks, in that there are market participants (producers and consumers) etc. that have to be there. and corn is a real thing. unlike a stock like, for...
  5. W

    Do you use Martingale position sizing?

    and martingale is also distinguished from scale trading, which is quite effective for commodities note that in the martingale example, it is a simple binary system, whereas in trading, a losing trade is not defined discreetly until the position is closed in the coin flip, it is defined...
  6. W

    Massive US Dollar Sell-Off On The Way: What To Do?

    many brokerages also allow you to choose a base currency, etc. if u REALLY think the dollar will dive (vs. say the euro), then simply keep your free cash in Euros in your trading account, instead of USD you will still get interest (if your brokerage pays interest) and your EURos will buy...
  7. W

    Do you use Martingale position sizing?

    money management is absolutely essential martingale is not intelligent money management. it is simply an unsound principle, that given sufficient "n" will result in ruin period it's that simple cause all it takes is one black swan to knock you out one and unless you have...
  8. W

    Risk to reward: positive, negative or neutral ?

    first of all, my "risk/reward" (this is a problematic term, but that's another story) is based on setup structure, for each setup (i trade index futures, mostly YM) you can;t force a setup into an artificial risk/reward structure. iow, some setups i risk 3 times my reward (first target...
  9. W

    Why are IB's chart's so slow?

    "For those not familiar: there is a difference between backfill and historical backfill. The former is an update of missing quotes for the current day and 5 days back. I think it is a full T&S refill, without B/A quotes. A historical backfill gives OHLC's per day for the past year-to-date."...
  10. W

    Why are IB's chart's so slow?

    a historical backfill also generally uses a completely different datafeed than IB
  11. W

    Crude to $89

    the "real value" in the short term, the "real value" of a commodity, where price is set in a two way auction market, is the price the market imposes. at least from a trader's perspective. that is what two way auction markets DO - they determine value via the price discovery process...
  12. W

    The Pursuit of Happyness

    i am certain i am going to like this movie... will smith - good actor good director and most importantly, the reviews are hilarious. the more leftist the reviewer, the more they dislike this movie that says it all seriously. check out the reviews
  13. W

    How to trade. . .

    the best way to learn to trade is from a successful trader books are ok, but learning firsthand from a successful trader is the best money you can ever spend - if you want to be a successful trader
  14. W

    trend following delusion shattered

    marketsurfer, the public "in general" (to use your parlance) are not trend followers. the public IN GENERAL, are mostly invested in stocks/mutual funds via defined contribution plans, retirement plans, etc. and GENERALLY invest on a dollar cost averaging methodology, iow money is taken from...
  15. W

    IB booktrader

    also, booktrader already allows the ability to drag an order i do that several dozen times a day before you ask for features in booktrader, check to see if they already exist
  16. W

    TradeStation vs TWS vs QuoteTracker

    the bid is on the left the ask is on the right how is that confusing?
  17. W

    Factoid for the PermaBears

    qqqshort, your datapoints are irrelevant to the 20 yrs question
  18. W

    TradeStation vs TWS vs QuoteTracker

    you can do that with booktrader too, just use your simulation account i mostly use DOM's for scalping futures. and it at least APPEARS to get the order in the book faster. i like bracket trader, but i just didn't see it as giving anything extra vs. booktrader to justify a cost, plus the...
  19. W

    How many brokers/firms went bankrupt when the Japanese bubble burst?

    that's a fair point. i remember the scene in the book where he awoke HEAVILY long in futures and options to find the market had crashed due to the earthquake
  20. W

    Factoid for the PermaBears

    again, read... DOLLAR COST AVERAGING dollar cost averaging does not imply fully investing the lump sum at the top. it means the same amount of $$$ every (month, week, whatever) the US had a pretty terrible crash in 1929 and if an invester dollar cost averaged through that period he...
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