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Thinking Fast and Slow.

Based on your description:rolleyes: Note: there are barely any trades because stocks don't meet your criteria very often especially in a tiny market like Canada here is what a real source of alpha looks like: Note: lots of trades, consistent outperformance, this is a useful signal and people...

I agree and I don’t think dead or others who use charts aren’t making money. What I am saying is that they are lucky and do not have a transferable skills, so saying things like “all you need is a chart to be a successful trader like me” is bullshit.

If I ran a backtest of the strategy you are describing, I’m willing to bet the names and trades are uncorrelated to your ex post data.

That’s not true lol or your portfolio would mimic the exact returns of a momentum strategy or price pattern strategy. That it doesn’t implies you’re selecting stocks on some other basis that you just haven’t formalized. The most annoying thing about your posts is your inability to recognize that...

god forbid having to do some work! Well you just described a liquidity-rich regime, with a rising credit impulse, and low interest rates and actually list some of the risks (level of unemployment, deflation, inflation). If you spent a few minutes to look up what subsequent returns look like...

good point (and added momentum), though i'm hesitant to call them "momo" guys because they are trading momentum on a defined list of securities vs. systematically. IMO that makes them more exposed to the equity factors (which can experience persistence time series momentum) in their coverage...

I'm personally skeptical of Minervini as a person, though less so of his strategy. The basic underpinning of his strategy is security selection and momentum that is very popular among long/short hedge funds. Most of the other stuff he talks about adds little to no value and takes away from the...

The irony of you quoting Orwell is delicious.

Price action is literally just that -- it's what's going on with the price, e.g. stock is up/down 5%. On the institutional side, price action can be across any time frame, but normally it is nearer (shorter time intervals). You don't trade on the price action, because price action is just an...

When you say 100 lot do you mean 10k shares or 100 shares? When you trade in larger size, you should learn more about market structure and market impact. I'd recommend starting with some basic series 55 material to learn about how orders interact with exchanges and ECN/ATS. If you already know...

The thread is primarily people who don’t know much about currencies talking about currencies lol. :banghead:

Lol wtf.

The trends in demographics, technology, and debt are deflationary. Here are some good articles: Start here --> HIM2021Q2NP.pdf (hoisington.com) Then --> The Coronavirus Is Sending the Global Economy Toward Deflation, Not Inflation (foreignpolicy.com) All roads lead to Japan --> Lessons from...

Don't waste time arguing with people who don't know how QE works. The Fed and ECB have mandates around inflation and unemployment. When those targets are hit, they will reduce liquidity. That is what they have said. The problem that they are facing is that we are in the middle of a deflationary...

Sell NFTs then

She's putting her money where her mouth is...she doesn't need to prove anything. OP is calling her out -- but he's not saying why he thinks stocks are in a bubble. Is he short? No clue.

Why don’t you explain your view instead of making up silly arguments (strawmen).

Blackrock is talking about long term investment decisions. Cathy Wood is tactically adjusting her portfolio through a volatile period. Both can be right.

Even if you have 5k to trade you can split that among 2-5 different trade ideas that are not correlated.