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  1. L

    Pro Trader vs Amateur Trader

    This is not a pro lol
  2. L

    Pro Trader vs Amateur Trader

    Lol neither of those two are pros. Would rather see “elite day trader” vs hedge fund PM.
  3. L

    How does the Fed remove money?

    If the Fed funds rate rose then the overnight rate would rise too. This is because dealer banks can park their excess reserves with the fed and accrue interest—so the lowest rate they would take would be FFR+1bp (or around there).
  4. L

    How does the Fed remove money?

    All they need to do to raise rates is to increase the "fed funds rate" which is the interest rate a bank would pay for overnight Fed lending. This rate influences short-term interest rates like SOFR (secured overnight financing rate) and LIBOR (london interbank overnight rate). That's it...
  5. L

    How does the Fed remove money?

    Thank you! Just realized all sorts of typos (wrote the post from my phone lol)
  6. L

    How does the Fed remove money?

    The Fed has a balance sheet lol and is sitting on trillions of assets it has purchased through QE and policy from the Covid disruption. Fed raises rates by increasing the fed funds rate which influences the overnight rate banks lend to each other (LIBOR and soon to be SOFR). When the Fed...
  7. L

    Does trendline work?

    well the way you're thinking about the market would need to change. but here is how you would use earnings information to build a strategy you could take advantage of in the short-term: 1. isolate the earnings effect on the stock price (z-score and data analysis stuff here to exclude the...
  8. L

    Does trendline work?

    ok so then going back to that -- what information does a trend line that you draw, Fibonacci sequence, or moving average tell you? what is your theory of causality that explains the subsequent move in price?
  9. L

    Does trendline work?

    this entire time i thought your posts were satire...
  10. L

    Does trendline work?

    when you day trade, what exactly are you betting on? that: - price will go up/down in absolute terms? - price will go up/down in relative terms? what do you think is causing this? - time varying trends in volume/flow? - "bulls" / "bears" fighting for every candle a la brooks (lol :rolleyes:) -...
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    Does trendline work?

    Earnings trends are far more important lol
  12. L

    Winning Picks

    Why FDX and not UPS?
  13. L

    Deconstructing big moves in stocks

    This is not a test? Looks like one to me lol. If not what’s the purpose of this then?
  14. L

    Deconstructing big moves in stocks

    Try your test out of sample
  15. L

    China May Soon Lead the U.S. in Tech

    Portugal != USA
  16. L

    China May Soon Lead the U.S. in Tech

    Lol it's not about China vs. the "West" it's about open societies vs. closed ones. Closed societies have structural limits (e.g. Japan) while open ones are more flexible (e.g. UK) and innovative.
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    China May Soon Lead the U.S. in Tech

    I was joking. If you dig into the data behind that website, you'll find that it's not very reliable.
  18. L

    China May Soon Lead the U.S. in Tech

    If we remove Mississippi I guarantee we get 10+ points.
  19. L

    Could China real estate money be coming into the US markets??

    No. Look up capital controls and China's dual-currencies.
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