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Your example is not correct. After failing 20%, 1x stuff needs to raise 25% to get back to original price.

rebalancing you mean buying and selling 3x etf everyday? That is a lot of commission fee. I am talking about the holding 3x etf for days, weeks, months or years cases.

rebalancing you mean buying and selling 3x etf everyday? That is a lot of commission fee. I am talking about the holding 3x etf for days, weeks, months or years cases.

rebalancing you mean buying and selling ex etf everyday? That is a lot of commission fee. I am talking about the holding 3x etf for days, weeks, months or years cases.

Is there any fair comparison? Does someone have live data comparing short sell costs of UWTI and DWTI?

there is actually decay. Just do a simple calculation like the 1x etf raise up and down like 0.5% everyday sideway then the 3x bull or bear etf would drop around 8% per year. But the main problem should be contango.

This person claims there is no decay because of daily rebalancing: http://www.matlabtrading.com/2011/05/guess-what-leveraged-etfs-dont-decay.html?m=1

it looks like oil futures always have contango no matter in raise trend or drop trend.

Can somone shows how my UWTI is still not even half of its bought price? I bought at around $60 in early December 2015 while the spot price of Brent was $36.93. Brent is $50.48 now but UWTI is only around $29. The Premium / Discount is almost zero at the time I bought and now.

So you agree you make trading decision base on your feeling and emotion, good luck then.

If you cannot backtest your charting and have a result then you trade with feeling.

then it is more like you trade by feeling because charting is very subjective so you see what you feel like.

end of the world?

How did you even prove to yourself that charting works but not just you imagine it works?

Have you bought his book or dvd? Look like so far he has created 1 book and 1 dvd?

where do you see his performance?

Do you think there is english tranlated version of his book or dvd? Or other langauge?

Thx this is very helpful. So you can read Japanese? I found out his blog few days ago but could not confirm which book is wrote by him. I am clear now.

anyone know?

You are not well trained for online marketing. You better find another job.