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  1. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    Ahhh... expected that... no, too low price. :D
  2. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    What do I gain by doing so?
  3. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    I don't (expect). :) I sure can (provide). But do I (wish) to provide it right now/here? :D This business is about profits. Investors care less how you do that if you perform. Your own P&L cares even less so. :)
  4. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    I know what I know and make claims about what I know. The other question is if I'm going to try and prove something to skeptics? What do I gain by doing so?
  5. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    You not even remotely disclose what are your "Price Driver" signals really based on, but ask others to explain you objective profitable pattern in details, correct? :D
  6. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    Got it, thanks. Not familiar with Crawford so can't comment. Can sure say though, that many successful TA patterns have universal definition, can be statistically tested and proven to have significant edge, thus defining odds of certain price action after TA signal appears. Have no idea why...
  7. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    Purpose of the question was to clarify what you mean by "valid signal". Let me rephrase it: can your PD signal be still valid if price traveled some amount in you direction already? Asking cause you seem to mostly fade the momentum. How do you know there is no empirical evidence? Seriously...
  8. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    Alright. Does it mean series of trades in your desired direction is not always a sign of being "too late"? What makes you think so?
  9. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    Let me ask you one question: when you enter a trade, do you wait for just one print (trade) next to that and take your profit immediately after? As for TA odds: of course they can be quantified. Additional factor of micro-nuances, which are only possible to be interpreted by humans and not...
  10. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    That's where the flaw is in your theory. You believe that pre-trade action is valid while past-trade action is not. But in reality ANY objective information you see and are able to analyze is past, never a future (unless you are a psychic/prophet who can read it :) ). Series of past trades...
  11. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    Fundamentally you may be right. Eventually if they sign the deal, markets probably like it. However, TA is a great tool, much better than FA. You miss the very profitably part of the game by denying TA, Surf.
  12. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    Koh Samui until Tuesday. Weekly chart rolled over nicely into bearish swing. Dow theory and price action TA in general still as good as it was 100 years ago, especially applied to intermediate/long-term trends. :)
  13. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    Briefly checking the markets once in a while here and it looks like as YM tested last week lows with strong volume spike being 100+ points ITM it's logical to move stop-loss on my hypo short to break-even or slightly worse (above near support on daily chart for example) or scale some out (up to...
  14. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    Alright, off to vacation, tropical island is waiting! Good luck with your L Surf. Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year, everyone!
  15. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    Volume spike is past data, how can you even consider it? :D
  16. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    Have seen very bright quants blow up, fundamental investors blow up... never seen an experienced and consistent TA trader blow up due to her own actions...
  17. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    Probably lack of self-confidence makes those people question others as well. Those who are successful know the feeling and hardly ever criticize other winners. :)
  18. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    Can probably be intuition, but it's based on chart patterns for me, for which I know odds, because I keep the stats of them. So why fix what works?
  19. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    You couldn't miss it but intentionally, I showed it to you numerous times and you even posted screen shots of it yourself... but never mind. :D
  20. cornix

    Surf's Special Situation Journal

    Easily can be wrong, no biggie. TA traders don't pretend to possess some secret always right method. Just odds say this or that and I do this or that. That's how I make a living. :)
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