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for sure, anything is possible and with an earnings downtick and housing in correction unlike most of the last 4 years, i would be surprised if 100+ oil (and potentially in the 200's based on Hormuz outcome) didn't have at least moderate recessionary influence. as the ING risk doc on the...

i has gains a history lesson, thx

250 a barrel yikes. thats almost a million bucks from here on a 5 lot of CL

imo there's a good chance we'll be at war with iran by springtime. no idea if the mkt would correct on that news. if i had to guess, it would probably initiate on a saturday or sunday morning here when everything is closed, and probably following a strong rally friday. the kind of news you...

good points, i see where you're coming from. the DXY was at an index level of 120 when bush came to office, now we sit at 84ish. 120 was a relative extreme, having only been higher from '83 to '85 I just think that by dislocating inflation so profoundly from the risk free rate, the net...

The CME should make an M3 contract available. How do I get in on the steady decline of my purchasing power directly at the source? I don't want to speculate on volatile assets or distorted and understated risk premia, I simply want a liquid, stable medium to store value and conduct exchange

extremely clever. i'm also gleaning what i can from the last few years, attempting to learn from what's been done. fool me once... how does it go? With the DXY so close to all time lows over the last 2 years, it will be very interesting to see where monetary expansion can go from here...

what's more certain than real war every few decades? it's not like we're going to see some kind of deflationary pax americana with a side of fiscal prudence from the current US political system

i've seen a handful of anecdotal explanations of chronic and hyperinflations stating that they've historically always been a one-way street. with money supply growth over 10% a year we already technically qualify as exhibiting chronic inflation Could the Fed reverse this administration's...

What do people feel the general odds are that we may not see a recessionary price drop in the US indices, now or any time soon? Priced in eur, gbp, particularly gold, etc the US indices have been in a prolonged and fairly dismal looking real recession for a few years ... you can see this...

go baby go! don't forget you can also buy whatever you want on credit regardless of what you have or can afford. it's way better than fiat cash profits, go get yourself something really nice and tangible like a house or a set of skis, and screw creditworthyness. ability to pay back will...

i found one of these the other day

Webb's rebuttal to the STOU was really interesting, well said

i have a prediction. the number of technical outages on US exchanges is going to increase dramatically from here

probably just another desperate attempt to paint the technicals. look at this bizarre er2 action in fits and starts with ib globex unavailable

the ability to openly criticize our politicians in public without risk of retribution is an original core american value. i see your point that limitations on one's ability to financially defy or influence legislation are technically also an affront to absolute freedom, but we drew a distinct...

http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=ind_focus.story&STORY=/www/story/01-16-2007/0004507242&EDATE=TUE%2BJan%2B16%2B2007,%2B06:34%2BPM Congress to Send Critics to Jail, Says Richard Viguerie Congress Wants to Blame the Grassroots for Its Own Corruption MANASSAS...

you're not talking about bush the tax cutter and unprecedented spender are you? it's almost like him saying 'guys, we need to do something urgently about the problem i've massively accelerated in my time as president'

on what basis do you estimate a capacity of 100mm?

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