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I guess Autospreader expertise is in cattle but he might have an opinion.

I got out today @ -0.125. Sep/oct spread and basis are dropping like a rock. Better than a loss but it didn't work out as expected.

You don't have to know which refineries will be closed to trade RBOB, contrary to refiner/oil stocks. You just had to realize the most damage was done to the refining capacity( long RBOB ) instead of extraction( long crude ), that was the trick with Harvey.

A lot of press releases with 50-70% fruits loss on trees, including on Valencia oranges which are harvested later in the spring. So I just took the last 5 lots hanging @ -1 on OJ K/N for a long term trade. I think it will go at a steep inverse later in the winter.

Which EU legislation are you referring to? By the way, commodities that are NOT traded in a regulated exchange tend to be more volatile( dangerous for poor little farmer or consumer ). Check WTI and Brent volatility Vs other kinds of crude that are only physically traded, or power...

Nice, Baron. Perhaps it has to do with the height of the bamboo and the fact that your oranges are still really green. Anyway, good to see you went through without too much damage.:cool:

I guess this one( or a close one ) came on my alerts last week. But then I watched the back months spread liquidity and forgot about it. That's one of the problem. It's easy to find spreading opportunities on low liquidity prodcuts but you have to work your orders for a few days to get the...

http://www.foxbusiness.com/features/2017/09/11/orange-juice-futures-fall-as-florida-growers-dodged-worst-irma.html "Absolutely there was some loss, but it was not total devastation, which was what the market was basically pricing in," said Judy Ganes Chase, founder of J. Ganes Consulting LLC.

I hope you guys make it without too much destruction... That said, if one of you can go out checking if oranges have fallen off trees, it would be greatly appreciated( I know, I am a dick...LOL...Just joking...).

By the way, I should have stayed in Cotton as well. Z/H reached my initial target this morning. I just got carried by Irma ...

Just exited at the open @ 154.7. Irma seems mellower than I thought and the front spread went straight down at the open. You can laugh at me if it goes to 160 + today...LOL

Check out St Maarten and Barbuda after Irma. It should be mellower in Florida but still...

Closed also the short front month cotton spread@ 1.7. Bad R/R. It was a good trade at inception but couldn't predict Irma would be that strong...Still profitable though

Just went long at the open @ 151.8. Small position.

I just put a new long term trade. -MWH18+2*KWH18-ZWH18 @ 199.75. The wheat class butterfly. -KW too undervalued compared to ZW and MW -KW H18 seems undervalued and MWH18 overvalued on their respective curves. -MW conditions have been improving and the stocks to use ratio is nowhere near 2007...

IB has had a lot of problems with NYBOT access in the last year. Last winter, I couldn't see KC spread markets for a few days( but could submit orders...perhaps the OP just had a stuck quote he couldn't hit because it wasn't there ).It looks recurrent. It must be some kind of programming or...

If you are looking for fundamental news play in the commodity space, here is an other one. I just shorted Cotton Dec17/Mar18 @ 1.85 based on yesterday crop conditions. It seems the rally was a late response to Harvey crop damage whereas the good/excellent condition has actually improved 1 point...

Commodity futures. CME International Incentive Program for companies outside North America.

Definitely as a scalper. On my best years, around 10-20% was going to commissions + exchange fees. On my worst year( 2012 ), I paid close to 50%. I was trading around 1000 lots per day, had reduced IIP fees and looking for 1-2 ticks profits. IMO it's still better to look for high alpha trades...

I would add Heliette Geman " Commodity and commodity derivatives ". And it would be a good idea to know why certain markets have seasonal patterns. So for ag products "Mastering the grain markets" by Elaine Kub was pretty good.