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  1. O

    Flip a coin for entry

    2 cents: imo, the entry part attaining 48.5% would be quite normal and acceptable for this system. Perhaps certain improvement on the exit part (such as multiple contracts with various different targets) could be considered, particularly when the current targets of loss and profit were...
  2. O

    Flip a coin for entry

    Surely there would be many ways to Rome (or NY or else). :cool:
  3. O

    How many trend followers here?

    Whether a timeframe is long or short term is relative in terms of several important (personal and general) factors such as capital, working hour, strategy, personality, etc., particularly the market characteristics of the instrument being selected/traderd. The market characteristics would...
  4. O

    How many trend followers here?

    I would have the same thought above. Thanks! :)
  5. O

    Flip a coin for entry

  6. O

    Flip a coin for entry

    Q Basically, a chaotic system generates behavior giving the appearance of complete randomness by means of a purely deterministic rule. ... Scientifically speaking, chaos is only the appearance of randomness, not the real thing. --- Complexification (John L Casti) UQ :confused:
  7. O

    Flip a coin for entry

    Probably the system might be tradable and profitable, but its potential drawdown could first (50%) reach a level beyond expectation just before getting to a desired profitable level. Accordingly, TA would be still a better approach in order to maximise ultilisation of capital and manage...
  8. O

    Flip a coin for entry

    Other thoughts below: It appears using TA (or else) can achieve at least two advantages that could not be done by merely flipping a coin for entry. - Waiting for the proper timing for an early entry of a trend. - Scanning some high probability trades among many different...
  9. O

    How many trend followers here?

    Would it be possible that a Kelly ratio could be used suitably to measure quantitatively whether (intra)daytrading or multidaytrading (or else) would be more profitable/risky? :confused:
  10. O

    Are there pullback systems that backtest well?

    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=28391&perpage=6&pagenumber=11
  11. O

    Are there pullback systems that backtest well?

    Another 2 cents: As long as the rules are clearly and operationally defined (i.e. objectively), probably whether they are based on binary logic, fuzzy logic or else would not be a critical issue, I just guess. :confused:
  12. O

    USD - Up or Down?

    USD - Up and Down, Up and Down, so on and so forth. :mad: :confused:
  13. O

    Do you really know what Randomness is ?

    Q This would be an operational definition of a random procedure. A sample is neither random nor not random. It is the peocedure of selection that we must focus on. The procedure that selected the sample satisfies the prescribed definition of a random procedure, or it does not. A random...
  14. O

    Are there pullback systems that backtest well?

    Just 2 cents: Yes, imo. Otherwise something equivalent. :confused:
  15. O

    Are there pullback systems that backtest well?

    Interestingly, what is a pullback, anyway? A series of price actions that collectively are evaluated as a pullback by some traders can be practically measured as a combination of an uptrend and an downtrend by others! :mad: :confused:
  16. O

    Which is honest, high quality FX Broker/Platform

    A question worth of 2 cents: I wonder any banks/institutions would be interested in dealing with so many small retail traders with a number of potential small (odd) orders. I don't quite understand how any FX platform without the backing by a (at least one) major market maker could...
  17. O

    Are there pullback systems that backtest well?

    Perhaps try this book (p.92): http://www.acmetrader.com/pages/917519/index.htm Q The Acme F System is based on the work of W.D. Gann and a recent book by Steve Woods called The Precision Profit Float Indicator. The float of a stock is simply the number of shares that are available for...
  18. O

    Which is honest, high quality FX Broker/Platform

    Thanks Adler for the info. I might later have time to check them out. BTW, I would presume that nearly all FX platforms for retail traders are basically market markers (with their proprietary market-making algorithms and any platform could also add or turn on some new algorithms anytime for...
  19. O

    Which is honest, high quality FX Broker/Platform

    Hi Adler, which one (after CMC) you are currently using now?
  20. O

    Gaps

    Yes, surely one day! ? :D
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