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  1. O

    trend following delusion shattered

    Are you able to read PDF files yet? :confused: PS: Next time, you don't have to delete the url addresses to tell us PDF is not readable in your computer. How many users in today's Internet age do not read PDF files, even if not daily? :confused:
  2. O

    trend following delusion shattered

    You must be joking!? :D
  3. O

    trend following delusion shattered

    More answers here: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=42501 Q Posted by NickelScalper on 12-16-04 05:30 AM: Re: So... This trading plan requires a 1c gain on average per trade to offset commissions. Not difficult. To make any real profit requires an increase in...
  4. O

    trend following delusion shattered

    The answer is obvious: ANTI-Trend. :D
  5. O

    trend following delusion shattered

    Take your time. :confused:
  6. O

    trend following delusion shattered

    You're welcome. Yes, they look interesting. :)
  7. O

    trend following delusion shattered

    The Risk in Hedge Fund Strategies: Theory and Evidence from Trend Followers www.duke.edu/~dah7/rfs2001.pdf Past trend versus future expectation: test of exchange rate volatility www.econ.ucsb.edu/papers/wp13-96.pdf :confused:
  8. O

    Average Pips move profit per day in FX Markets

    Agree. Yes, an improved (or a newly developed) edge is required. :)
  9. O

    Average Pips move profit per day in FX Markets

    Many thanks Illiquid for the feedback. Say a trader would like to maximise his returns on invested deposit/ risk, and he has two markets to trade/ choose: EUR/USD at price level 1.5000 with average range 100 pips, and AUD/USD at price level 0.7500 with average range 50 pips. As these two...
  10. O

    Average Pips move profit per day in FX Markets

    Thanks for the above input from them (and many others as well), I've been following these advices. They are my gurus on ET. :)
  11. O

    Average Pips move profit per day in FX Markets

    Thanks. The results from gurus like you and others (on oanda site) that have achieved or/ and targeted a 1% daily return on equity would be completely amazing to me. :confused:
  12. O

    Average Pips move profit per day in FX Markets

    Afetr learning and studying this interesting issue (at least to me), I haven't got all clear/ firm answers yet, except more questions (that I might never know the answers). However, I think some variables would greatly impact the issue, such as price level (a daily range 100 pips at price...
  13. O

    Average Pips move profit per day in FX Markets

    Probably due to profits/ losses of a day are determined by the number of points movements and lot/ contract size, an average range in terms of points would determine the potential range/ average/ maximum of profits/ losses for the day. :confused:
  14. O

    Average Pips move profit per day in FX Markets

    http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=25084&perpage=6&pagenumber=3 :confused:
  15. O

    Average Pips move profit per day in FX Markets

    The link works with me. Perhaps try this way: OANDA FXMessage » FXTrade - Currency Trading with OANDA » Experienced Traders - PRO » Carry trading vs volatility trading :confused:
  16. O

    Average Pips move profit per day in FX Markets

    Do you guys believe this? http://www2.oanda.com/cgi-bin/msgboard/ultimatebb.cgi?ubb=get_topic;f=16;t=003720#000000 Q 80 pips per day is gbp/chf daily range ....so who can't make 40 pips a day? UQ :confused:
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    trend following delusion shattered

    Q "Just as money management needs the method or system; the method or system needs money management." --- The Trading Game (by Ryan Jones) UQ :confused:
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    trend following delusion shattered

    Probably win-rate should not be the only or main measure to evaluate a system, I believe. Do you find the Robust Statistics mentioned in Ryan Jones book The Trading Game useful? Would like to know any details for a minimum set of performance measures (such as win-rate, profit factor, etc.)...
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    trend following delusion shattered

    As a newbie in trading, I learned that probably most trend-followers would Not expect (or require) a 50/50 win-rate to be profitable. Is it true? :confused:
  20. O

    trend following delusion shattered

    My 2 cents: Would it be possible that we can see and calculate "an uptrend which is 'very much theoretically :)' a succession of higher highs and higher lows formed by (say 2 or more) consecutive bars, of which the highs and lows are relatively close to a linear regression line moving...
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