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Thanks 5yr for your patience. Probably you're the number N poster to provide the same correct answer in this thread, however in a different (perhaps a better) format. :confused:

Apparently, last time with $10,000 was much more attractive than this time. :D

Q "Guidance from a theoretical statistian is necessary, however. ... It is good advice to anyone that is interested in improving his ability to find problems and to help in their solution to take any course that he can get into theoretical or applied statistics (including, of course...

You say so. :confused:

Q Analysis of variance, t-test, confidence intervals, and other statistical techniques taught in the books, however interesting, are inappropriate because they provide no basis for prediction and becuase they bury the information contained in the order of production. Most if not all computer...

My 2 cents: A simple answer would be we don't have to define what's a trend, whether mathematically or not, in order to make profits in trading the financial markets. :confused:

Do we have to to think and act positively and constructively? Perhaps it's up to the individuals. :confused:

Please notice the key word "Standard". Better try something different. Your analyses and results/ conclusions would be quite "Normal" (read "Common"). Probably only the best mathematical statisticians would know and understand well how to choose the right tools and correct statistical...

That reminds me this thread: $10,000 Challenge... http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=43072&highlight=%2410+000 :confused:

This thread has just advanced to the third place (in terms of replies) among all "Trends" threads. http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/search.php?s=&action=showresults&searchid=721152&sortby=lastpost&sortorder=descending 1st 781 the trend is up, market has bottomed. (lundy) 2nd 460 Why...

LOL. :D :D :D

Thanks Spyder. Actually you know I don't know. :D

Thanks Grob. Perhaps after keeping to post the same question at least once each day for 250 days, someone on ET Might Start to Consider reading the question carefully. :confused:

Furthermore, there are some ET posters (such as HarryTrader) who are not interested in this thread can easily predict the trends and their turns with prices and timing to be happening in the future. ThePlumber can forecast 250 trading days...

What's your bank account number? :confused:

The fact IS some posters in this thread have already told you the answers in detail as how to trade trends for profits. Now it's up to you to grab profits for yourself trading trends (if you are able?). Is that what you want (according to your hidden agenda)? Probably you're too smart...

Enjoy your trading. :)

There are some different but logical issues: - Do trends exist? - Can a trend be quantified? - Can we make profits from trading trends (both trend-following and anti-trend included)? - Have trends changed recently? But there were trends before. - Is trend trading a type of directional...

Here is a paper from www.aima.org . "Has Trend-Following Changed" PDF: www.aima.org/uploads/2001%5CJun%5CWelton.pdf HTML: http://216.239.63.104/search?q=cache:w_AhAUpzZPAJ:www.aima.org/uploads/2001%255CJun%255CWelton.pdf+trend+following+alternative&hl=en&client=firefox-a :confused: