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  1. I

    Bond rally nearing an end?

    Why treasuries down today?
  2. I

    attn IB TWS traders - get new Java RC ...

    Has anyone seen any improvement in TWS in plain quote speed/updating when updated to newest java? Or does this just apply to charts and other features?
  3. I

    new broker with a spread of ZER0 on all majors!!!!!!

    At this rate, I'd rather take 5 euros :) Are you taking advantage of these weekend moves?
  4. I

    new broker with a spread of ZER0 on all majors!!!!!!

    Why even bother putting your money with a broker that: 1) profits more the worse your fills are 2) in an unregulated market Do you enjoy giving your money away? Christ people wake up.
  5. I

    Why are the best trades winners from START?

    I would think any trader worth his salt would want his entries to be significant -- after all, timing is the name of the game no matter what time frame you are talking about. If you don't care about what happens to your position during the next several bars upon entry, it's hard to believe...
  6. I

    Trading for a living OR Trading for a fortune

    It's not a choice per se imo, those that settle will settle, those that don't stop pushing, won't stop pushing. All I know are the following: 1) that if I used a dollar amount as my prescribed "goal", I would have never gotten to where I am now (and "where" has NOTHING to do with dollars)...
  7. I

    Daily EUR/USD trades

    1500+ pips drawdown? Forget about compounding your account with that -- you can do better. Remember, when trading your own coin, limiting absolute drawdown is key no matter what the time frame. But hey I'm not here to tell you what to do, where to go or how to get there. Just to give you a...
  8. I

    Daily EUR/USD trades

    If such a thing were even possible to find, even then, a very good reason not to use it is this: how long would you have to suffer a drawdown to realize it's stopped working? The irony is, the longer a system's trading history, the longer this period will need to be. If something has shown to...
  9. I

    Daily EUR/USD trades

    You wouldn't need to know why at all -- to show and sell a profitable system you just give it an "arbitrary" starting date and show the results from there. For a simple "long euro system", it would show excellent gains from '01 onwards. And you would never need to flip and go short either to...
  10. I

    Daily EUR/USD trades

    On a weekly time frame, being long euro or short dollar via most any currency will have been profitable for the past 5 years -- you don't need a "system" to implement that. To say that even a "simple" system can make money doesn't really prove much, given that a single open position can achieve...
  11. I

    Daily EUR/USD trades

    I don't know what the above is based upon, but here's my rant on forex systems in general: It's easy to take any sort of recently recurring pattern or even a simple 2-year trend and masquerade it as a "system" -- for example, go long euro, short jpy, add on a few bells and whistles, and...
  12. I

    The Surf Report

    I don't believe that Surf trades according to a single "system" that he applies across YM, QM, EUR etc. There are aspects to certain of his positions and trades (holding times, timing of reversals etc) that lead me to believe he bases his crude and dollar trades on something else entirely --...
  13. I

    downrivertrader remembered

    Call this move the day or 2 before and yes I'd be impressed -- otherwise *shrug*.
  14. I

    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Winners cut and run while losers hold on, I think that's all it means.
  15. I

    It's difficult

    not to tap the aquarium . . . Then again, sometimes I'm not so sure who's the fish.
  16. I

    trend following delusion shattered

    I would just assume that if conditions are such that large moves occur more frequently (commodities in the 70's, tech stocks in the 90's), then trend following as such will show more success in general. Conversely, top and bottom pickers/range traders will suffer during such times, and if...
  17. I

    trend following delusion shattered

    That was what I meant, the fuss on this thread isn't about whether or not traders want to catch trends, it's over how they do it. Some prefer to catch the turns, others prefer to ride the middle. If one could do both then this thread is moot.
  18. I

    Track record questions

    So all would be well if Trader A just deposits 80K more cash in the account to begin with, and kept the trades exactly the same? Wouldn't the sharpe ratio be exactly the same?
  19. I

    Track record questions

    1) For an individual short-term futures trader, what time frame would be most important is terms of max DD and peak-to-trough figures? It's highly possible that a good short-term trader would have higher dd's the shorter the time frame considered -- ie, max daily drawdown of -10%, max weekly...
  20. I

    hedge fund trader vs. daytrader

    So is there really any point in having "prop" futures firms, beyond providing capital to those who are relatively "tapped out"/BK etc?
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