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  1. I

    Are you scared when you go short these days?

    I've heard his capture is the signal to trigger the dozen or so small nuclear warheads hidden among several US metropolitan areas, so yes I'm scared :(
  2. I

    Fighting the Tape

    Probably because on more days than not it does turn out profitable to bet on a change in trend on an intraday basis. Once in a while the market will continually trend from low to high and vice versa, so picking tops and bottoms would be futile, but you can only know in hindsight that you were...
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    Nassim Taleb and Empirica

    I'm curious to know if this style of fund has grown in number over the past few years, and the effect that would have on the overall returns of those funds. If too much money begins to bet on any one "black-swan" event, doesn't that ultimately reduce the catastrophic effect after that event...
  4. I

    Was Saddam's whereabouts known for weeks

    If the market tanks in the following few days then you'd have your answer :)
  5. I

    Saddam's capture will move the market, but I'm shorting

    True bulls should be happy for another chance to add at lower prices (as true bears were Sunday night). If you are a bull, yet feel less bullish now compared with yesterday evening, it might be time to rethink your position.
  6. I

    Nasdaq only up 30 overnight

    You can get clues from what is happening in the other markets to see if this news really "matters" -- dollar, bonds, oil, etc.
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    Living Room Economist

    Agreed, actually some think if the Yuan were to float now that it may even drop due to structural problems remaining in China's banking system. Also seems like Asian countries' holdings of US treasuries getting more buzz lately: "The Bundesbank also said today it sees a ``risk'' for...
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    Living Room Economist

    Combine booming demand in China with a falling currency pegged to the dollar, how soon before inflation in that country becomes overwhelming? Will China resort to a revaluation of the yuan and start to dump US treasuries as the peg ends? Will Japan have no choice but to follow suit and begin...
  9. I

    15,000 Dow

    On the first real break of the 50-day MA, do you guys think more bulls will buy or sell? :)
  10. I

    15,000 Dow

    When people start to say "it's going to go up because, well, it just keeps going up" -- look out! :)
  11. I

    Child ownership of stock

    Thanks all :)
  12. I

    Child ownership of stock

    Is it possible for children under 18 to own stock under their name only? Or does a parent need to sign as custodian? If so, can only one parent serve as custodian? If only one parent signs as custodian, what are the rights of the other parent in terms of ownership? Sry if this is wrong...
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    The Economy Makes Drudgereport

    My family is in retail in NYC and this year is adding up to one of the worst in a while, and much worse when compared with the last two years (which were actually pretty good). Whatever improvements the talking heads have been pointing to as of late seems to be losing steam, could just be a...
  14. I

    a rare marketsurfer stock pick

    congrats!
  15. I

    How high can the S&P go?

    Dow, SP may have rolled over today, but naz topped much earlier. So let's all be happy and short together, kay? :)
  16. I

    Stagflation anyone?

    If one believes economic activity is peaking, is this the only alternative? :( I am not very familiar with the conditions that would cause this, but that's what I keep coming back to as a possibility, looking at the dollar, commodities, job etc.
  17. I

    Gold Ripe For Pullback?

    By the time a trade looks good, the market usually doesn't let people back in at a "safe" price. Most people calling for a pullback are those sitting on the sidelines waiting to get in -- dunno if the market will give them another shot to get long. Check out what platinum has done this year as...
  18. I

    Abercrombie and Fitch-discrimination or capitalism?

    Let A&F advertise what they want, no one complains to FUBU or SeanJohn about the racial make-up of their ads.
  19. I

    IB margin valuation way off

    In an email I received from the head of customer service, I was told that the software used in calculating contract value only had problems in the YI and YG, in that the front month is not usually traded. He mentioned that March/Feb (yi/yg) should have been used as front month a couple weeks...
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    IB margin valuation way off

    OK, IB has told me that the error is on their part and that my position will be re-built. My recommendation to people is to never use the phone customer representatives and state your case directly with an email to management -- I was told a number of misleading things by 2 separate people...
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