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Hear, hear... And what happened last time interest rates were lowered this much? That 03 gas pedal had a lot of steam behind it, that left a lot of puzzled shorts headless.

I like this argument. The sideways period makes sense, because in my experience, many shorts need a looong time before they cry uncle. Considering how many relatively recent posts we've seen regarding insider buying at all time low, selling high, commercials net short, blah blah; there just...

Seeing as euphoric Gold Bugs have only recently climbed out of their holes and invaded the forums, I can only wonder what that might suggest about the actual future of Gold's trajectory.:D

It's ok to put up a hypothesis for causal explanation in hindsight, but the point he illustrated is that the common hedge argument does not always work, regardless of the cause. And it's worth proving that to yourself by actually going back and corroborating facts firsthand (not you...

Nice to see someone observes these types of relationships objectively, for once.:) Pretty risky shorting dollar from here though, IMO.

generally a result of using cheap batteries which aren't regulated well. Nothing to do with the product interior; they should easily be able to replace the battery manufacturer (china?).

http://www.amazon.com/Coders-at-Work-Peter-Seibel/dp/1430219483/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1254122323&sr=8-1 Was looking through some of the interviews. Great practical book on how programmers evolve and their experiences in the real world, for anyone who does any coding. I noticed...

wrong again. The sequence is perfectly sideways (since you can't seem to agree with math, your eyes should at least be able to ascertain the direction from the plot I posted), and since you want to be a stickler about it, let me educate you a bit. The two common forms of financial price models...

I assume you understood the gist of the post. If you add the percentages in a linear fashion, then yes, the signal is perfectly sideways. Of course that wasn't the gist of it, was it? Does this not look sideways to you? You are able to disprove mathematical correlation on a sampled data...

Well... it does use clouds, and there are plenty of good patterns to be found there. However, I prefer the rorschach technical indicator, as it is constantly evolving and reflects directly upon your own trading personality.

Good Luck with that. Very poor experiment: selectively mine exactly one 4 yr sample window containing set of 7 pts that contain some sub pts that are near fibonacci; take a completely different measurement and find some correlation to corroborate predictive utility. They weren't kidding...

Interesting approach, but doesn't take into consideration magnitude of vector elements. For example, suppose you had sequence 10% 10% 10% 10% -1% -1% -1% -1% repeated several times now suppose you had 10% 10% 10% 10% -10% -10% -10% -10% repeated same number of times Hamming...

Just curious... Have you actually read that paper? What is your conclusion?

I noticed there is a nice wiki for wealth-lab with code contributions for users. Is there a standard glossary somewhere with how they calculate all of their default summary statistics? For instance, the wiki has complete code for win/loss ratio rolling stats from a user, but the actual...

Or conceivably, they need the extra 'juice' to help their buddies unload just before a perceived pullback or worse. Just saying... I always understood that JPM had the largest derivatives holdings of all. And that is considered a strong buy in this fragile market?

Yes.

Just to clarify, long term returns do not have a zero mean. Hence the upward drift and buy and hold philosophy. Therefore, in answer to your question, No.

ok, I found the paper. I get what you meant about the trend indicator now. It's not a type of regression, but a measurement related to regression parameters. Did you find any use in their conclusions?

Hi Hugin, Have you compared the paper's approach (could only find the abstract on the web), with robust statistical methods? Like LMS or LTS? Also, how are you determining the window length of your trend? Fixed or adaptive?

Buy this book... It safely took everyone out of the market at the bottom of 03.:D http://www.elliottwave.com/more_info/ctc.aspx?code=dc&articleid=0 And 6 years later, it's even updated with a newer edition! (that advertises something to the effect... they called the crash... errrr.. 6...