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  1. dtrader98

    Can linear regression analysis really predict the future?

    Much of AI borrows from literal physiology provided by nature and evolution in our brains (think perceptrons, neural nets). Why do we try to mimic biology? Because elements that we naturally use, such as the perceptron (neuron) and hebbian networks are remarkably adept at functions like...
  2. dtrader98

    Can linear regression analysis really predict the future?

    [/b] Your work is in line with much published work. But as TZ said, you need to be more concerned with net return than hit rate (most, not all, academic papers miss this). [/b] The reason you see this can be better understood if you are familiar with PCA theory. By including only...
  3. dtrader98

    This picture has driven me nuts

    think you're missing some obvious ones, but the picture needs to be a bit higher res. Is it real? Doubtful.:D
  4. dtrader98

    wrong voltage after PSU change

    btw... as an additional diagnostic, you should go into your bios at startup. Most of the time, the bios software will tell you what the supplies are and which are specifically over under spec threshold.
  5. dtrader98

    How to research and verify trading ideas

    There really is no need to dispute the veracity of his claim. It is so well known, that it is even displayed in popular laymen books on trading, such as this older one, 'beyond the random walk.' All of the information to replicate the results for one year (more recent) can be found at...
  6. dtrader98

    wrong voltage after PSU change

    It is likely that you hooked that particular connection backwards. -4.5 is the lower limit that the +3.3 or +5 supply is specified to tolerate. I can't think of anything that would ever require a negative supply. Go back and check the wiring. --------------------------------------------...
  7. dtrader98

    How to research and verify trading ideas

    Perfectly plausible hypothesis. Although, years ago, the buying and selling activity were much more transparent, IMO. You could see gigantic block activity going off pre and post announcement, and the post buying lasted a while. These days, with the advent of dark pools, algo trading, 3rd...
  8. dtrader98

    How to research and verify trading ideas

    Hey Talon, Don't let the crowd get you down. I've seen similar results a long time back, but can't chime in on how well it would work today. The strategy (and variants) seem so well known by now, that I wouldn't expect it to; but then again, I haven't run any tests lately. I would ask...
  9. dtrader98

    Right/Left hemisphere

    Common theory is that it forces the two hemispheres to become less independent-- by having one side constantly be forced to monitor and work with the other, it somewhat forces the two regions to collaborate. Ultimately the co-operation allows for better efficiency and survival then two...
  10. dtrader98

    An amazing journey - but do you see the dishonesty?

    I don't know if you ever studied the life of Carl Jung, a well known, famous psychiatrist/psychologist. He was not affiliated to any particular religion (to the best of my knowledge), but was deeply spiritual. This was a person founded in science, with freud as a mentor, yet described the human...
  11. dtrader98

    Most losers in a row you have had?

    http://www.socr.ucla.edu/htmls/SOCR_Experiments.html Go to roulette experiment and knock yourself out. (set it on double play button update 1 and 1000 trials, watch the distribution unfold).
  12. dtrader98

    Has anyone worked with Stridsman's Meander System

    The 10 yr profit factor in his book for 1990-2000 was only 1.2, but it is designed to stay out of short and volatile markets. He tested it over several instruments in that period, so you should be able to replicate results. PF 1.2 was for DJIA mar 1990 to nov 2000. Keep in mind that was...
  13. dtrader98

    BAR BY BAR -- Al Brooks

    PA is at best a secondary observable effect of intentionally disguised institutional activity. Fixed that for you/him.
  14. dtrader98

    American Casino: another Moore style documenatary on the lending fiasco

    Lot of documentaries jumping on the bandwagon. http://www.americancasinothemovie.com/
  15. dtrader98

    PEET another coffee stock blastin' off

    Yuck, their coffee and mochas are horrible (bitter like the bottom of a denny's pot). Of course, some people seem to like it, because I always see foot traffic there.
  16. dtrader98

    anyone know of unscented particle filter algorithm in OS lang

    Stoxtrader, PM sent. Yes, I think that was the C++ package I was referring to. If anyone has experience using pyrex/cython (or similar interface: weave, Instance/SWIG ex) to run C++ files in python please chime in. I looked over the cython intro, and it doesn't look as easy as just...
  17. dtrader98

    Paul Tudor Jones sees boom and going for gold

    I agree with the hyper-inflation printing press induced rally thesis. So far it has legs. I don't know about Gold though. Although I can understand the rational, it could easily drop off a cliff just as well. Reminds me a bit of GS infamous Oil Call right around the top.
  18. dtrader98

    anyone know of unscented particle filter algorithm in OS lang

    That's not unscented, but thanks anyways. I knew about it. I have a C++ version, but it's a pain to translate. I am looking to build an unscented particle filter algorithm in OS language.
  19. dtrader98

    Are you sick of technical analysis? I am...

    ....and here is one of them. Pay attention folks.:D
  20. dtrader98

    Are you sick of technical analysis? I am...

    FWIW, there is an interesting set of slides from a hedge fund/physicist that discuss some of the ideas here from a quant POV. Enjoy. ---------------------------------------------- Fundamental Financial Analyst: Price/Earnings ratios, global economy, demand for products MSNBC Financial...
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