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So my other kid is sick today. No trades, and unfortunately today's rule worked as it should have (contrarian short).

Crazy move in the Globex session. Will watch for some exhaustion on the 15-min chart, but want a good entry. And this is technically one of the less predictable days...setting up like post-Brexit...

I got the stomach bug Sunday night so no trades for me yesterday. Signal is a very mixed one today. Doesn't always mean no good trades, but it means it's not as predictable as some days so I try not to chase or guess. Will have to see where it opens within yesterday's fibs.

No trades today. Sick child and signal was not a strong one.

So, I just did a short analysis of my trades in January-February to date. Good lessons in total I think. I need to stand down on 1 particular setup that has been popping up a lot since the beginning of the year. I have some rules, but until early January I wasn't even trying to trade...

Mistakes chasing/second-guessing. Not disastrous, but not great. Turning off computer and off to exercise or something.

Today my signals are mixed so I am waiting for some directionality at the open. If spikes up, have a small, small fade planned. If hesitates or falls, plan for continuation up, but only after a dip, and possibly quite deep into yesterday's range. One setup would have buying at the open with...

And it didn't. I see sort of a red flag, but I will just note with my journal and notes on rules. I cannot put so many exceptions in that the rule is mooted. If expectancy changes significantly, then need to consider, but for now, leave as is. So probably done for the day.

I'm in short at 59.00. Looks stronger than usual. Said that PM, but until/unless there's something I see that's just wrong with a rule, I have to follow it. Walking away for a bit. This is the part I cannot stand. I have stop and exits in the book so nothing else for me to do. Since it hit...

Order active for short; hope get a retest and it holds...it could take a while to fall if it holds. Looks scary, but going off of stats and expectancy long-term following my rules!!!

Looking for retest of 58.75-59.25. 100% of my samples retest or have entry after 9:00 so I am watching it. Today feels a bit different, in which case I'll kick myself, but holding to my rules to keep positive expectancy.

So, looking at probably a 2-sided day unless ES opening higher than 58.75, then will be more directional. Could still be directional, but will need to see if ES puts in something like a tiny double top or has a reaction around, 58.75 and just falls...then more likely to be two-sided. Today...

I don't trade like that - I want my entry to fill before 11:30 or something is wrong with the pattern I'm trading because I'm looking for certain types of momo. Today's opening move is 100% but requires a MOO, which I don't do for risk management reasons (though I'm starting to backtest to see...

I meant it didn't revisit -138% so I didn't get filled, not that there was an issue with the order itself. Just not aggressive enough. I struggle with widening stops so look for conservative entries and sometimes miss the move. That's one of the things I'm working on. I'm profitable trading...

I didn't get my retest at R3 today. I think most days like this I used -100% or -138%, which coincidentally was right by R3. So had that on the brain. Frustrated that I keep getting near fills. I think it's a bit of perfectionism that I'm still fighting.

Took off last week for winter break at kid's school. Today's signal is/was some continuation and then exhaustion. Always tentative about following after a holiday half day, but signals still seem to work ok. Basically need to enter MOO on days like this, but I don't like doing that at all...

Stopped out. Counting as -1R for stats even with smaller size because want to keep track of what actually happens...

I am in short 2208.25, stop just above R1. I'm in half size because this is a setup I have fewer stats on. And I'm nervous about being overly bearish with the breakout yesterday. Target 2301.75.

I see a distinction now on the 5-min chart. Never before seen so today's action makes sense. I'm Ok missing something I cannot statistically base a trade off of, but it's a note for the future and helps inform the typical exhaustion play I was looking for.

No exhaustion yet so I'm probably standing aside today unless this goes sideways for a long time. I know I look at it and second-guess the short bias a bit, but my data set for days like today is all over the place. Maybe I'll figure out some bit of the puzzle I'm yet to see, but for now days...