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  1. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    You're posting a lot of bullshits. Can you show us where Satoshi ever used the word cryptocurrency? Bitcoin is a commodity not a security as defined in the US, also as property in the IRS tax code How the fuck did you get around repeatedly calling bitcoin a security? And what's all the...
  2. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    I hope you got these 2 on your list The Bitcoin Standard Digital Gold: Bitcoin and the Inside Story of the Misfits and Millionaires Trying to Reinvent Money
  3. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    No Bitcoin halving simply means the reward to the miners will be cut in half per block. These are new bitcoins. The Bitcoin software code is already written, there's no one making the decision to cut the bitcoin reward per block every 210,000 block...
  4. johnarb

    Bitcoin Price Thread

    1% allocation to Bitcoin is too low .NFA
  5. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    Why are you fixated on spending bitcoins? Bitcoin is a store of value, it's meant to be a savings account, spending it on shitty stuff like real estate is one of the worst things you can do with it
  6. johnarb

    Using BTC to buy stuff

    Powell is not concerned with bitcoin, he has too much worries wrt insolvent banks The price of bitcoin goes up against all fiat currencies Today, 1 bitcoin can purchase over 51,000 cuckbuck$
  7. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    There's hope for us perpetual futures traders
  8. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    Let's say I agree with you and accept your logic. Jan 10, and Feb 22, numbers delta bitcoins +110k net inflows to all ETF's, difference is +$3k in bitcoin price But now, since $38k happened on Jan 23 eyeballing the charts from your link it's 640k to Feb 22 730k, net inflows delta of +90k and...
  9. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    Didn't mean traders are evil, mate :D not on that post. I'm just repeating scam-wicks as an industry accepted description, lol
  10. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    But this is the heart of your argument, you're willing to take the high a few hours before the trade but dismiss the bottom of the 38k as a starting point of reference when 38k is right in the beginning first 10 days of the ETF's actively accumulating the 100k coins? $38k to $53k is a 40% move...
  11. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    GBTC outflows vs 9 ETF inflows is equal to before 1/11 and after Depending on what price you wish to measure from, $43-45k before and $53k after 100k coins net inflows, we're looking at $8-10k price addition to bitcoin (the recent Genesis selling muddies the discussion, we had negatve inflow...
  12. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

  13. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    There';s no way to tell if bitcoin is stored on a cold-storage device and even if it is, the private keys can be exported and imported to a regular wallet. I think what you meant to say is bitcoins that have not moved (i.e. transferred to a different address) over a given time It varies based...
  14. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    You hit on some major points and I get dizzy excited thinking of all the possibilities the next 2 years, lol I should not have regrets of what happened in the last cycle and there was no way to see the future even if we had some ideas of previous bear markets... idk, still can't help the woulda...
  15. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    Excellent charts by CTO Larsson. I'll be very happy with $300k top for this cycle (next 2 years), even $200k is not bad
  16. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    Genesis has been selling $1-1.5B worth of GBTC to payoff creditors
  17. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    The $1M price target for bitcoin has always been estimated to occur before 2030... but there is a chance given all the things occurring with the bitcoin spot etf, the current halving cycle, that $1M could be reached by eoy 2025 or first half of 2026, whichever is the peak cycle for this bull...
  18. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    So you want me to talk big number price targets again on bitcoin? :D Ok, to be very very clear, bitcoin is going to $100k, then $500k, then $1M, then $10M and higher... bitcoin price will go up forever because...... the-dollar-is-getting-debased-forever Scarce asset vs infinite fiat supply...
  19. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    Good luck to you, too. Just trading on fundamentals... I got liquidated on that GBTC outflows, but after it slowed down, it's been on uptrend, now 52k, knocking on next 1,000k resistance 53k fwiw, the 2 positions have not been on a drawdown since being put on, the latest one was 2 nights ago...
  20. johnarb

    Is the crypto winter over?

    Right there with you... I think it's a matter of perspective, we have enough conviction to risk funds on something we believe is going to happen (in the short term) short-term Trading is gambling, imho. Only risk play money and nothing that can hurt too much I went long btc perp futures when I...
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